採訪/朱智善 編輯/周平 後製/周天
Will Zhou Yongkang’s Case Get Depoliticized?
Since the CCP publicized the investigation of former Politburo
Standing Committee, Zhou Yongkang, how his case will be
handled has become the focus of current China affairs.
Will his case be dealt with like how Bo Xilai was treated, i.e.
Will his alleged crimes be treated at a higher level or even
Please see the experts’ analyses.
Former CCP’s China Reform magazine director Li Weidong
delivered his analysis and comments on Zhou’s case in a forum
in New York on August 2.
Voice of America reported Li Weidong’s analysis.
He believes that changes could occur as to how the Central will
handle Zhou Yongkang.
However, there are two possibilities.
One is to punish him with party rules and expel him from the
CCP, and the other is to prosecute him through the legal system.
It is said the legal proceeding is highly likely.
Zhou Yongkang’s case will be handled depoliticized,
like how Bo Xilai’s case was handled.
The crime is limited to his personal corruption and other criminal
acts. “At most it is elevated to a higher level such as reprieve."
In other words, the conspiracy of Zhou Yongkang and Bo Xilai
to oust Xi Jinping,
and his public atrocities during the ten years maintenance of
stability, will not be put on the table for liquidation.
Commentator Lan Su indicates that Xi Jinping will surely carry
out the anti-corruption,
which is deep enough to threaten the CCP’s ruling. But, there are
also other reasons.
Lan Su: “One of the reasons is: The society is at the most
critical time of conflict between the party and the people
since the founding of the CCP.
To the Beijing authorities, the sustenance of their ruling depends
on easing the resentment.
Zhou Yongkang was arrested because he was at the front of the
politics and law commission over the past decade.
His brutal stability maintenance has become the target of
This is one of the main reasons why Xi will hit the politics and
law commission and Zhou Yongkang."
Lan Su explains the other reason comes from the
Lan Su: “In the past two years, the condemnation of the live
organ harvesting has reached the highest point in the
The CCP’s power relies on international trade and economy.
Under such a condition, it needs to deal with the international
The anti-graft campaign in the domestic will not solve
Li Weidong explained the three possible criminal charges
against Zhou Yongkang:
“One – for providing an umbrella for the triad (such as Liu Han
of Sichuan Province); Two is for accepting illegal bribery or illegal
enrichment; Three is suspected of incitement to murder his wife."
The most severe accusation might be:
“The biggest corruption culprit since the founding of the regime."
Li Weidong also explained that Xi Jinping’s “overall goal
of fighting corruption” is to remove the former leader
Jiang Zemin, the so-called “overlord."
And “If Jiang Zemin and Zeng Qinghong, the most powerful
supporters behind Zhou Yongkang, can still afford the game
with Xi Jinping;
or if Xi Jinping takes into account the party’s face, or the concrete
ruling power or any other unknown factors, Zhou Yongkang could
finally get loose."
US-based political commentator Wu Fan: “The even bigger
tigers such as Li Peng and Jia Qinglin, how can they be hit?
Will Jiang Zemin or Zeng Qinghong be willing to give up on
all their power?
How can they get security after giving up on power?
Everything is uncertain!
I don’t think this factional struggle within the CCP is so simple.
If someone is let off, you have no idea when he will turn back
and bite you.
The struggle will continue until the opponent is completely
Wu Fan analyzes there will be endless tigers within the CCP.
Wu Fan: “The anti-corruption will not handle the corrupt
elements, which will only continue to exist in the CCP system.
The crony capitalism relies on the power to operate the
capitalists, who are entitled to the money, which give rise
So, only the biggest one will get hit, but,
it won’t save the CCP or the ruling regime."
Lan Su believes after the downfall of Zhou Yongkang,
the CCP Central will continue the campaign with the next tiger.
As for Jiang Zemin, it is yet to see about his fate.
Interview/Zhu Zhishan Edit/ZhouPing Post-Production/ZhouTian