【新唐人2012年10月27日讯】中共军队继空军司令和政委换班后，10月25号，解放军四总部最高领导也换了新面孔，外界注意到，新换上来的首脑，全部是胡锦涛近年来授封的上将级将领。评论认为，胡锦涛在任期间，受尽江泽民人马的钳制，少有建树，这次换上自己的人马，说明胡锦涛将留任军委主席协调各方势力，同时彻底清洗江派，以洗刷自己当“儿皇帝”时无所作为的名声，同时在中共高层形成胡、习、李三驾马车，在党内进行改革。
10月25号，中共国防部网站的军委总部领导资料库出现更新，中共军队四总部正职人员全部换人。新任总参谋长的是原北京军区司令员房峰辉，新任总政治部主任的则是原广州军区司令员张阳，新上任的总后勤部部长，是原南京军区司令员赵克石，而总装备部部长换成了原沈阳军区司令员张又侠。
原大陆历史学教授刘因全，分析这次军中大换血有三个特点，第一，新提拔的将领大部分来自基层，刘因全认为，来自基层的军官具有战斗力和凝聚力﹔第二，这次属于江派、薄派、和太子党的人员，以及有腐败劣绩的官员都没有得到提拔﹔第三，这一次的大换血是胡锦涛征求了习近平的意见来主导的。
原大陆历史学教授 刘因全：“通过四总部的调整以后，这样胡锦涛就完全掌握了军队，掌握了军权，这样我们可以预见，通过十八大，胡锦涛把书记交给习近平，然后温家宝把总理交给李克强，这样呢，中国就会形成胡、习、李三驾马车这种局面，就是胡锦涛掌握军队，起平衡协调各派的作用，习近平掌党务，李克强掌行政。”
最新一期的香港《亚洲周刊》推出了中共新的军委委员名单。名单也显示，胡锦涛十八大后将连任中共军委主席。
刘因全指出，目前中共内部形成了毛派、邓派、江派、团派，太子党元老派，以及已经掌握中国经济命脉的既得利益集团派，和党内开明派等诸多势力，他们彼此间争斗的非常厉害，胡锦涛留任军委主席有利于制衡各派势力。
刘因全：“另外就是国际方面，中国周边的一些国家因为领土领海问题，现在我们看周边国家搞的很紧张，特别是和日本，现在因为钓鱼岛问题搞的很紧张，南海问题搞的很紧张，在这种情况下，胡锦涛就有留任军委主席的迫切性了。”
刘因全还表示，胡锦涛完全控制军权后，可能彻底清除江泽民培养起来的军中贪污腐败势力，然后，开始大练武，增加军队的战斗力。
刘因全：“这10几年来江派一直给胡锦涛捣乱、破坏及打击胡锦涛的力量，9个常委5个人是江泽民的人，胡锦涛没办法干。一方面他们限制胡锦涛干事，另一方面又把胡锦涛不干事的责任戴到胡锦涛头上去。下一步胡锦涛一定会清理江派，这样我想有可能会平反一些冤假错案，包括法轮功，包括平反六四。”
北京时政观察人士华颇则指出，中共前一届执政者把自己的方针政策变为祖训，让继任者无条件的遵守，这已经成了中共的传统。华颇说，中共新政会按照胡温的意志解决一些民生问题，但很难满足精英阶层的需要。
北京时政观察人士 华颇：“因为精英阶层政治诉求的结果就是：中共交出政权下台，不管宪政民主也好、普世价值的理念也好、还是司法独立也好，反正这些诉求不管实行那一条，都意味着动摇了共产党执政的根本。”
刘因全表示，从目前的情况来看，不能指望中共下一届新政进行大的政治改革，但有迹象表明，他们会进行党内民主改革。
采访编辑/刘惠 后制/孙宁
Hu Jintao Completely Controls Army
The reshuffle of the Chinese Communist
Party (CCP) military continues.
The regime’s People´s Liberation Army
(PLA) just replaced its top leadership.
Observers note that four newly appointed army heads
are Generals who were elevated by Hu Jintao recently.
Commentators say that Hu Jintao was inactive during
his tenure, being subject to Jiang Zemin’s restraint.
This reshuffle indicates that Hu Jintao will stay in charge
of the army, to balance out the CCP’s internal forces.
The new army leadership will help Hu
to completely purge Jiang Zemin’s forces.
Critics think that the CCP ruling elite will follow
the lead of Hu Jintao, Xi Jinping, and Li Keqiang.
The CCP is expected to
implement inside Party reform.
On October 25, the CCP Ministry of Defense’s official
website updated the heads of Four Army Headquarters.
The new Chief of the General Staff is Fang Fenghui, and the
new General Political Department Director is Zhang Yang.
Zhao Keshi is the new Chief of General Logistics Department,
and Zhang Youxia is head of General Armament Department.
Liu Yinquan, former history professor,
analyzes this latest CCP army reshuffle.
1. the newly promoted army leaders were mainly from
grassroots, with combat effectiveness and cohesion;
2. the promotions did not include those of
Jiang Zemin’s faction, Bo Xilai’s forces or of any princelings, nor those corrupted officials.
3. Hu Jintao dominated the reshuffle
after having taken advice from Xi Jinping.
Liu Yinquan: “By reshuffling the Four Army Headquarters,
Hu Jintao has completely controlled the army.
At its 18th Party Congress, Hu Jintao will pass his
seat to Xi Jinping, and Wen Jiaobao to Li Keqiang.
We can foresee that China will see a situation under the lead
of three carriages; Hu Jintao, Xi Jinping, and Li Keqiang.
That is, Hu controls the army,
balancing out the CCP internal forces.
Xi leads the CCP, and Li takes
the helm of its Administration."
The latest issue of Hong Kong’s Asia Week exposed a list
of new Central Military Commission (CMC) members.
The list shows that Hu Jintao will stay on as
the CMC chairman after the 18th Party Congress.
Liu Yinquan says that there exist
many forces within the CCP.
They include Maoist forces, Deng Xiaoping forces,
Jiang Zemin’s clique, the Youth League faction,
the princeling clan, the liberal faction and the group
with vested interests, controlling the Chinese economy.
Liu says that infightings among these forces
has intensified.
Hu Jintao maintaining control of the army
will help check and balance these forces.
Liu Yinquan: “Internationally, China faces tense relations
with its neighboring countries, over territorial disputes.
Particularly the Sino-Japanese dispute over the
Diaoyu Islands, and the South China Sea issue.
These issues aroused a pressing need
for Hu Jintao to remain as the head of the army.”
Liu Yinquan adds that full control of the military
would help Hu Jintao to thoroughly purge Jiang’s corruptible forces in the army.
Next, Hu Jinatao will focus on troop
drills, to boost combat effectiveness.
Liu Yinquan: “Over the past decade, Jiang’s clique has long
made trouble, and struck out against Hu Jintao’s faction.
Five out of nine Politburo Standing Committee
members are Jiang Zemin’s cronies.
On one hand, they blocked Hu Jintao playing his role.
On the other hand, they made Hu Jintao
into a scapegoat for crimes irrelevant to him.
Next, Hu Jintao will surely purge Jiang’s clique, I believe.
They might redress some injustices, including vindication
of Falun Gong, and of the June 4th student movement.”
Hua Po, political observer in Beijing,
questions CCP custom practice in politics.
Usually, the CCP’s new leadership will unconditionally
follow the former leadership team’s policies.
Hua Po forecasts that new CCP leaders will solve
some livelihood problems to fulfill Hu-Wen’s wishes.
Yet, it will be hard to truly satisfy the elite echelon.
Hua Po: “The elites’ political pursuit is that
the CCP hands over it’s power, and steps down.
No matter whether it is to realize a constitutional democracy,
or to pursue universal values or judicial independence,
all these have shaken the basis of CCP rule."
Liu Yinquan does not expect that the CCP’s new leadership
will launch major political reforms, given the current situation.
Yet, there are signs showing that the CCP will carry
out inside-Party democratic reforms, speculates Liu.
