【禁闻】基尼系数0.61 中国家庭收入贫富悬殊

【新唐人2012年12月12日讯】12月9号,“西南财经大学中国家庭金融调查与研究中心”发布《中国家庭金融调查报告》,这份报告显示,2010年中国家庭收入基尼系数为0.61,这是民间调查的版本。中共所谓的官方版基尼系数,是早在2000年已公布的那个数据0.412,当时的数据已超过贫富两极分化的所谓“警戒线”。12年过去了,中国的基尼系数不降反增,有学者分析,中国家庭收入贫富悬殊的差距,有可能是压垮中国经济社会的最后一根稻草。

“中国人民银行”与“西南财经大学”共同创立的“中国家庭金融调查与研究中心”,在北京发布《中国家庭金融调查报告》,报告指出:2010年中国大陆家庭的基尼系数为0.61,远高于0.44的全球平均水平。

“基尼系数”是国际上作为衡量国民收入分配差异程度的一个指标,比例数值在0和1之间。通常把0.4作为收入分配差距的“警戒线”,超过这条“警戒线”时,贫富两极的分化,比较容易引起社会阶层的对立,从而导致社会动荡。

成都经济分析师李先生:“中国目前出现贫富差距,这肯定不是什么社保、养老造成的,也不是因为经济发展自然带来的,因为我工作的关系,我接触了很多企业,而在中国要达到上亿资产的,几十亿资产的,除了当官的,就是和官僚资本相结合,只有这些人才会真正的有钱,所以造成贫富悬殊的,是社会不公,而不是其他原因。”

由于北京在2000年公布最后一次官方的基尼系数:0.412以后,便拒绝再发布基尼系数,因此2000年以后,中国大陆的基尼系数一直没有一个确信的数值。

根据统计局的《2011年中国全面建设小康社会进程统计监测报告》中,也仅有“2010年基尼系数略高于2000年的0.412,实现程度为79.8%”这样模糊的表达。

成都经济分析师李先生:“我们国家的统计局,他到底是用了什么方法算出来的,从去年到现在,物价起码是涨了一倍,物价在上涨,大家的收入并没有增加,实际上现在全国人民感受的生活压力是非常大的,至少人们的切身感受和国家公布的数据是差别很大的。”

美国“南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院”教授谢田表示,基尼系数的调节,需要国家通过财政政策进行国民收入的二次分配,例如对民众的财政公共服务支出和税收等,从而让收入均等化,让基尼系数缩小。

他举例,美国的基尼指数在0.48%附近,通过政府税收以后,美国的基尼指数降到0.38左右,反观中国的税收并没有起到调节或减少贫富差距的作用,中共当局也不再公布基尼系数。

美“南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院”教授谢田:“透过这个秘密报告,让我们知道,中共自己确实还在进行这个统计,只是他不把这个数字公布于众,所以全中国人民以及全世界的人都不知道,但是中国确实处在贫富悬殊非常严峻的状态,所以我想也是个会导致中国社会经济社会最后崩溃的要素。”

在2011年国民经济运行情况新闻发布会上,香港《大公报》记者曾经提问,中国多年的统计资料中都没有见到基尼系数。当时的统计局局长马建堂回答说,是因为还没有建立全国统一的城乡居民住户调查体系,没有取得全国统一可比的居民收入,还不具备计算全国基尼系数的基础。

对此,外界质疑,2000年以前公布的基尼系数数据,和统计局有关“2010年基尼系数略高于2000年的0.412”,这些数字又是从何而来?

采访/陈汉 编辑/黄亿美 后制/郭敬

China’s Gini Index in 2010 Reaches 0.61

On December 9, Survey & Research Center for China
Household Finance released a survey report.
It showed that China’s Gini index in 2010 is 0.61

China’s last official Gini index 0.412 was made public
in 2000. 12 years later, China sees the Gini soaring.
Professionals speculate that the widening rich-poor gap
may become the last straw that will lead to the end of China’s economy and society.

A China Household Finance Survey report
was released in Beijing.
The report states that China’s Gini index in 2010
was 0.61,far higher than the global average of 0.44.

The Gini index is a number between 0 and 1,
measuring the inequality of national income distribution.
A Gini index of 0.40 is deemed as the “warning level".
Figures above 0.40 indicate a fact of rich-poor polarization.
It may easily cause antagonism among different social
classes and trigger social unrest.

Mr Li (Economic analyst, Chengdu): “China’s rich-poor gap
is definitely not a result of social welfare or pension system.
Nor is it caused by the economic growth.
As a professional, I’ve contacted lots of enterprises.
China’s companies with assets worth over hundreds
or thousands of millions of yuan, which all have an official or semi official background.
Only these people are the real rich in China.

So the reason behind the wide rich-poor gap is
a situation in which social injustice prevails, There is no other reason."

China’s last official Gini index was 0.412, released in 2000.
Since then the communist regime has refused to release the figure.

All other relevant data found was a vague expression
stated in an official statistics & supervision report in 2011.
It said,"The Gini index in 2010 is slightly higher than
0.412 in 2000."

Mr. Li: “How did China’s statistical authorities calculate
those figures ?
From last year until now, prices have at least doubled,
but people’s income has not increased.
In fact, citizens across China are living under great pressure.

At least, one’s personal experience is very different from
what the official data has alleged."

Xie Tian, professor at University of South Carolina-Aiken
Business School, comments.
State fiscal policy can impact the Gini coefficient through
secondary distribution of income account.
Such as public service spending and tax levy, etc..
These can equalize income disparity and lower the Gini.

Xie Tian said, the U.S. Gini index was once around 0.48,
it dropped to 0.38 with tax levy.
By contrast, China’s tax collection has not helped
reduce the rich-poor gap.
Thus, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) regime
no longer releases the Gini index, Xie Tian remarks.

Xie Tian: “This secret official statistics report shows that
in reality, the regime still makes its own statistical analysis.
But it dares not make public the figure.

Now disparity between the rich and the poor in China is
very serious indeed.
So I think it may be the final impact factor that will trigger
the collapse of China’s economy and society."

In 2011, at a press conference on national economic
performance,
Hong Kong’s Ta Kung Pao reporter inquired about
the lack of release of the official Gini index for years.
Ma Jiantang, then-director of CCP National Statistics
Bureau, replied to the question.
Ma said, this was because a nationwide system had not
been set up for urban and rural household survey.
Nationwide comparable data on resident income
had not yet been obtained.
The basis to calculate the national Gini index does not exist,
according to Ma Jiantang.

That being the case, the public are suspicious
of where the following figures have come from?
Such as the official Gini indices published before 2000,
and the Gini in 2010, which was “slightly higher than 0.412 in 2000″.

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