【禁闻】刘云山党校新职 习近平是宠是弃?

【新唐人2013年01月19日讯】中共新晋常委刘云山,日前按既定安排正式接任中共“中央党校”校长一职。有学者认为,保守派刘云山兼职“意识形态”大本营,再次显示新一届执政层坚持“偏左”路线。也有人根据刘云山近来似乎看涨的仕途,来分析他和“新主子”习近平之间的关系。

1月15号,刘云山首次以“中央党校”校长身份,高调在毕业典礼上亮相。海内外对中共这一项人事安排普遍给予关注。

现年66岁的刘云山,从2002年10月起担任中宣部部长,他在任内的十年间,以保守着称,并严格加强舆论控制;去年(2012年)11月,刘云山入常,在七常委中排名第五,分管中共党建、组织人事和意识形态。

美国的“中国社会民主党”中央委员会主持人 刘因全:“如果有一个像刘云山这样的人担任中央党校校长的话,他一定会强化原来的所谓马克思、列宁、毛泽东思想这种教育,强化什么辩证唯物主义、历史唯物主义的传统的共产党观念的教育,这样会使干部更加保守化。”

而北京时政观察人士华颇认为,刘云山担任“中央党校校长”并不令人意外,重点是,将来他是否还管宣传意识形态。

北京时政观察人士华颇:“他接中央党校校长之后,是不是还管宣传意识形态。我曾经说过,十八大多亏‘笔杆子’,这次‘九变七’,是周永康的位置不入常,李长春的位置要取消,这个权力是刘云山掌握,还是为了习近平处理,或者再有什么人掌握,得关注这个。”

香港《信报》认为,刘云山从习近平手里接下“中央党校校长”之棒,是地位提升的迹象。但也有舆论认为,刘云山是“明升暗降”。因为之前就有消息传说,中共高层负责港澳事务的人事已被安排好,但并非刘云山,而是中共常委张德江和政治局委员李源潮。

大陆资深法学专家赵远明:“有可能把他放到党校以后,可能把管宣传这块给他虚化了。党校这个牌子挺好的,但是没什么实权,把他搁置起来,也可能习近平有这个想法。”

对于刘云山和习近平之间的关系,外界也有不同解读。有人认为,是习近平的信任,才成就了刘云山今天的权力地位。因为“南周事件”发生后,习近平还把“中央党校校长”的职务移交给刘云山,而刘云山也放下手头工作,奔赴习近平老家陕西等地视察,并向习宣誓效忠。

刘因全:“刘云山因为他和江泽民的关系是比较好了,同时他又和团派关系比较好的一个人,这样他是各派妥协的时候都能接受的人物。刘云山正好这两大派都能够接受的一个人物,所以我想,这是他得到提升的一个很重要的原因。”

不过也有分析指出,“南周事件”不仅让江系陷入尴尬境地,而且也打乱了习近平的部署。刘云山与习近平的“宪政梦”是唱反调的。

赵远明:“因为习近平提出这个‘中国梦’、‘宪政梦’,就是要对现实、对法律制度要有所改进,否则这个梦就是一个空想,不可能实现的。”

华颇指出,不管习近平和刘云山关系如何,但至少有一点他们是一致的,那就是“党管媒体”。

华颇:“这个观点,这两个人是没有分歧的,但是他们的分歧,可能在掌控的方式上,就工作方式方法上。所以他们就是对掌握媒体在一个布置上、松紧上存在着一定差距。”

中国学者、国务院农村发展中心前研究员姚监复,在接受《德国之声》采访时分析,习近平和刘云山在政治理念上是契合的,而且在政治上都“偏左”。

《德国之声》报导还引述中国政治学者陈子明的话表示,派别并不是刘云山的主要特征,他就是一个“党的官僚”。

采访/李韵 编辑/王子琦 后制/王明宇

Liu Yunshan Becomes President of Central Party School.
Does Xi Jinping Favor Him?

Liu Yunshan, the new member of Chinese Communist Party
(CCP) Standing Committee took over as the president of Central Party School, as arranged before.
Some scholars think the conservative Liu Yunshan leading
the base of CCP’s “ideology”, shows again that
the new leadership adheres to the “left” route.

Some people have even analyzed the relationship
between Liu and “his new boss” Xi Jinping based on Liu’s career development.

On January15, Liu Yunshan passed in the graduation
ceremony of Central Party School in high-profile in his first time as the president.
This arrangement has attracted attention
both inside and outside of China.

Liu Yunshan is 66 years old now. He was Minister of Central
Propaganda Department from October 2002.
In the past ten years, he was known for his conservative views,
and the strict control on public opinion.
In November 2012, Liu Yunshan entered the CCP Standing
Committee and ranked No. 5 in a total of 7 members.
He is in charge of the party’s department of Organization &
Human Resources and Ideology.

Liu Yinquan, the chairman of the Central Committee of
Chinese Social Democratic Party,
”A person like Liu Yunshan has taken over
the Central Party School.
He must strengthen the teaching of Marx, Lenin, and Mao’s
theories, and strengthen the teaching of dialectic materialism.
Historical materialism and other traditional communist theories.
This will train officials to be more conservative.”

Hua Po, a Beijing political observer thought, it’s not a surprise
that Liu Yunshan took lead of the Central Party School.
The important thing is whether he will be charge of
ideology in future.

Hua Po: “After he took office as president of the Central
Party School, is he still in charge of ideology?
I have said before that the CCP 18th Congress
is relying on those “pens”(writers).
The members of standing committee changed from nine to seven;
Zhou Yongkang’s position as a member no longer exists;
Attempted removal of Li Changchun from his position.
It looks like all of these are controlled by Liu Yunshan.
Is Xi Jinping behind it? Is any other person behind it?
We should focus on this.”

The Hong Kong Economic Journal thought, that

Liu Yunshan succeeding Xi Jinping to be the president of
the Central Party School, is a promotion.
But other media thought that it’s “a kicking upstairs”.

There is news that the CCP has decided; The person who
will be in charge of Hong Kong and Macao affairs,
Is not Liu Yunshan, but a member of Standing Committee
Zhang Dejiang and the member of Politburo Li Yuanchao.

Zhao Yuanming, a Mainland senior law expert: “It’s possible
that the CCP made him the president, and then weakened his propaganda responsibility.
The brand name of Party School looks famous,
but the position has no real power.
Maybe it’s Xi Jinping’s idea to just
leave Liu hanging up there.”

Then, what’s the relationship between Liu and Xi?
It’s understood differently by different people.
Some people think, Xi Jinping trusts Liu Yunshan
so he arranged today’s position for Liu.
The “Southern Weekend” censorship issue made
Xi hand over the president ial position to Liu,
Liu stopped work, went to Xi’s hometown in Shaanxi province,
and other places, to show his loyalty to Xi.

Liu Yinquan: “Liu Yunshan has a good relationship
with Jiang Zemin,
but also has a good relationship with the
Communist Youth League.
He is a person both factions can accept
when they try to make a compromise.
Liu Yunshan is this kind of person, so I think
it is a key reason which led to his promotion.”

However, some analysts pointed out that

the Southern Weekend issue not only
put Jiang’s gang in an embarrassing situation.
It also disrupted Xi Jinping’s arrangement.
Liu Yunshan didn’t support Xi’s “constitutional Dream".

Zhao Yuanming: “Xi Jinping raised the ‘China Dream’,
a ‘constitutional Dream’.
This means he has to improve the current legal system

Otherwise it’s all a fantasy, and nothing at all
will be achieved.”

Hua Po pointed out that both Xi Jinping and Liu Yunshan
want the Party controls the medias in China.

Hua Po: “On this point, they have no divergence.
But they have disagreement on the mode of control, the working method.
So they have different opinions on arrangements and
The force to be used in controlling the media.”

Yao Jianfu, a Chinese scholar and former researcher of
Rural Development Center of China State Council told Deutsche Welle:
Xi and Liu are matched in political philosophy,
both of them are “Leftists”.

Deutsche Welle also quoted Chen Ziming,
a China political Scholaras saying,
that Liu Yunshan doesn’t have a clear faction
characteristic, he is just a bureaucrat.

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