【新唐人2013年06月18日讯】近期，从网路流传“七不讲、新三反”的意识形态，到解读“宪政和中国梦”的大辩论，中国大陆从民间到官方的“左右之争”越演越烈，“文革”之音甚嚣尘上。14号，中共喉舌突然发表《温家宝总理离我们很近》的文章，引起人们的猜测。温家宝离任前曾经警告，“不政改，文革悲剧或重演。”请看记者的分析报导。
今年5月，网路盛传“七不讲”、和“新三反”的意识形态，并且在中共下达的“九号文件”中得到验证，导致大陆出现一片近似“文革”的舆论喧嚣。
随后，党媒一拥而上的“倒宪”，引发各界学者和普通民众的强烈反弹，纷纷以媒体和博客、微博等多种方式参与了“宪政”的辩论。
另一方面，被外界认为是习近平试图平衡左右两派而提出的新意识“中国梦”，也同样在各界引发和展示了严重的分裂和冲突。
一时间，中国政治思想界形成了一个上至中南海，下至社会民众，广泛参与的“路线”大碰撞。
一位接近中南海高层的人士向《新纪元》杂志透露，中共目前正面临国际局势敏感紧张、和内部经济危机，两个巨大难题。这些问题堆在一起令习、李疲于奔命。因此，习近平更不愿意见到党内左派和自由派的争论升级。
时事评论员司马泰认为，在中共的体制下绕圈，任何领导人都将无路可走。除非习近平能跳出中共专制的框框，否则将会越来越被动。
时事评论员 司马泰：“经济发展的模式走到头了，政治改革他（习近平）想启动，可是又被自己的智慧给限制了。他就在共产党这个体制之内改这个政治，又改不动，江泽民和周永康那一派他们又要制约、抗衡他。其实没办法抗衡，就是因为他在共产党这个体制之下，不可能真的改变什么。”
6月14号，中共党媒《人民网》突然发表了一篇回忆前中共总理温家宝的文章。
有海外中文媒体分析，文章发表的时机和标题颇有深意。
《温家宝总理离我们很近》这一标题，暗示了两层含义。第一，胡温势力仍然大权在握，对中国政治局势产生重大影响﹔第二，作为第一大政治派别，在混战纠结的关键时刻，将重新发力并表明态度。
时事评论员 任百鸣：“（习近平）因为刚刚掌握权力，立足未稳，还面临左派的挑战。接下来打掉了江泽民的原铁道部长刘志军被审，也是面临着江系的仇恨当中。接下来大的事情是审判薄熙来，这是后续双方肉搏的一个重大事件。审判薄熙来之前，文章出来力挺习李，是为下面打大的战役作一定的铺垫。”
不过，胡、温的动作将有多大，是否敢于跨出实质性的步伐，仍然有待观察。
文章还认为，当前中国政坛意识领域的冲突已经公开化、扩大化，逃避和长期拖延将极度危险。而作为先期的条件，加速审理薄案，并向全国大众公开，已经迫在眉睫。
另外，还有消息传出，习近平在一次内部讲话中提到“民主问题”，并坦承﹕“民主”关系到中共的生死存亡，党内阻力非常大，而他本人压力也很大。
有评论分析指出，这是习近平在中南海分裂白热化，处于无解的情况下出的“新招”。
不过，时事评论员夏小强认为，从中共的历史和现实来看，中共高层在体制内采取化解危机的任何举动，除了造成政治运动，给民众带来灾难，或是造成另外更大的危机之外，从来没有真正成功过。
采访/常春 编辑/李明飞 后制/钟元
Communist media mentions Wen Jiabao amidst the chaos.
The Chinese Internet is spreading a new ideology of
“seven forbidden topics” and the “new three anti-campaign.”
Along with interpretation of constitution and China dream,
they are widely debated on the Internet.
This intensified on-line fight between the rightists and the
leftists, mimics the debate during the Cultural Revolution.
An article titled, “P”remier Wen Jiabao is close by” on the 14th
by the state media, drawing much speculation.
Wen Jiabao warned before he left the office, “Without
political reform, the Cultural Revolution is likely to reoccur.”
The following is our analysis.
Since May, a new ideology of “seven forbidden topics” and
“new three anti-campaign” has been widely distributed on the Chinese Internet.
An article number 9 from the Propaganda Department
confirmed the order from the regime.
Suddenly, all the hustle and bustle on the Internet is
taking place like a new wave of Cultural Revolution.
Subsequently, articles criticizing the constitution swarmed
state media, causing backlash amongst the general public and serious debate of constitution on the Internet.
Xi Jinping’s China Dream, believed to balance left and right,
was thought to signal serious divisions and conflicts in the regime
China is suddenly in a chaotic political ideology fight from
Zhongnanhai to the general public.
Epoch Weekly was told by a source from Zhongnanhai that
the Communist regime is facing both the international crisis and the internal economical problems.
Xi Jinping is obviously challenged, on top of the elevated
division between the leftists and the rightists within the regime.
Commentator Sima Tai does not believe there is any way out
within the Communist system.
Xi Jinping can not escape this, but only become more
& more passive within their system.
Commentator Sima Tai:
“The economic development has come to an end.
Intellectually, Xi is limited in conducting any sort
of political reform.
Within the Communist regime, political reform is impossible.
He is also restricted by Jiang Zemin and Zhou Yongkang.
He has no way out."
June 14, the regimes mouthpiece People’s Daily, issued
an article talking about former Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao.
The timing and title of this article has caused
much speculation.
An overseas media analyzed the title, “Premier Wen Jiabao is
close by," implies two meanings.
First, Hu and Wen remain in power and have a
significant impact up on the regime.
Second, at any critical point this major political faction
will exert its political stance.
Commentator Ren Baiming: “Xi has just taken over office
and is facing challenges from the leftists.
He is facing the hatred from the Jiang faction triggered
by the former Railways Minister Liu Zhijun’s trial.
The upcoming Bo Xilai’s trial will be another major melee.
This article is setting up a tone to back up
Xi and Li prior to the battle."
However, how much Hu and Wen will engage
in this fracas, is yet to be seen.
The article has clearly pointed out the public and extended
ideological conflict within the regime.
Any delay will lead to further danger.
It is of imminent urgency to proceed with Bo’s trial
in a public manner.
In addition, it is said that Xi Jinping mentioned democracy
in a recent talk and admitted that it concerns the life and death of the Communist Party.
Both the Party and himself are facing much
resistance and pressure.
The new wave of ideology debate was analyzed to be a new tactic
of Xi Jinping under the intensified split in Zhongnanhai.
Commentator Xia Xiaoqiang indicates that in reality
and through the Chinese Communist Party’s history,
any move from the Communist leadership to resolve
this crisis, would only lead to another political movement,
major disaster to the nation, another subsequent major
crisis, but never success.
