Federation of Students Object to Leung Chun-ying’s Call for Retreat
How Will Beijing React?
Hong Kong Occupy Central Movement has lasted
over 70 days.
Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying said that he would soon
announce the date for clearing the occupied Admiralty area.
He pointed out that in the later stage of the occupation,
the protesters would be fewer, but action would be more violent.
In this regard, the Federation of Students responded
that it’s the police that would be more and more violent.
Faced with the unending Occupy Central Movement,
what strategy will the CCP take?
Please take a look at the following reports.
Hong Kong Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying said
on Dec. 7, before his trip to Shenzhen, that the authorities
are in psychological and physical readiness.
That is, in the later stage of the occupation, the remaining
protesters would be fewer, but they might be more and more
violent, and when the police clear the occupied area or help
the chief bailiff to carry out the court order, they may
encounter fierce resistance.
Leung thus called on those who participate in the occupation
movement at the Admiralty and Causeway Bay, especially
youngsters and students, to evacuate the areas as soon as possible.
As to the fact that Scholarism members use hunger strike to
petition for restarting political reform, Mr. Leung said those
who go on hunger strike and the students participating
in the Occupy Central Movement do not know the “Basic Law"
and the decision made by the National People’s Congress.
He added that political reform has never been stopped.
So, there’s no need to have the so-called five steps
to restarting political reform.
Deputy Secretary General of the Federation Lester Shum
responded that it is the police that use weapons
more and more violently.
After consulting with those who participate in the Occupy
Central Movement, they have no plan to evacuate the place
at this stage.
Lester Shum also said that even if the occupation ended,
the students will continue to protest, including putting more
pressure on the government and the Legislative Council
after the political reform program is released.
It is understood that the police are poised to assist the bailiff
carry out the injunction at the Central this week.
Some Occupy Central protesters told Ming Pao Daily
that they would set up a “chivalrous faction" organization
to secure the beachhead with shields and other stuff.
Financial Times pointed out that faced with the protesters
who have escalated their action, Beijing’s tactic of “waiting
for an end to the protest" may no longer be tenable.
It must either make concessions or take decisive action
to end the protest. However, neither one would be an easy task.
US-based China’s social problems researcher Zhang Jian:
“Concession is a very tough issue.
For one thing, it cannot use military force to suppress the protesters.
It may lead to the international community’s comprehensive
sanctions against the Chinese regime.
It has encountered difficulties at home and abroad for the time
being. On the economic front, it needs a lot of orders badly.
For another, it cannot have a real response to the demand
for universal suffrage in Hong Kong, as once universal suffrage
is granted in Hong Kong, various places across China
are likely to demand genuine universal suffrage too.
As a result, the Chinese regime cannot open this door."
Beijing politics observer Hua Po: “I think, the Chinese regime
is waiting for the timing.
It has noticed some mistakes made by Hong Kong Occupy
Central protesters, such as the attacks on the Legislative Council
and the Chief Executive Headquarters.
The Chinese regime is looking for a pretext for repression.
As long as Occupy Central protesters continue to make mistakes,
the regime may grasp the opportunity to let the international
community know that violence must be met by violence.
But if some say that it may be something like the June-4th,
I think it’s unlikely."
The Financial Times reported that the crisis in Hong Kong
is the first real test for Chinese President Xi Jinping’s leadership.
Under the legal protection of “One Country, Two System,"
the firm and idealistic young protesters in Hong Kong
would never be intimidated easily.
Zhang Jian: “After all, as Hong Kong was under British rule
for so many years, everyone is accustomed to the concept
of democratic values.
Moreover, since the Chinese regime has also bragged about
its rule of law, under the Basic Law, it has been entangled
by something of its own creation.
This is one of the reasons why it’s so stalemated."
Zhang Jian pointed out that the democratic movement
in Hong Kong was deliberately instigated by the Jiang faction.
Zhang Jian: “To drag Xi Jinping into trouble, the only way now
is to use the crisis in Hong Kong.
In terms of the ‘One Country, Two System’ and universal suffrage,
in the marching activities in Hong Kong on the issue of genuine
universal suffrage in the past, the CCP intelligence agency’s
judgment was quite good.
Once the problem with genuine universal suffrage is put off,
Hong Kong people’s reaction would be very strong.
So, this approach may force the ruling regime to have
an internal deal with the Jiang faction."
Zhang Jian believes retreat will only bring an end
to the future of Hong Kong.
Zhang Jian: “If Hong Kong people retreat, either faction
within the CCP would be the winner.
So, Hong Kong people must stand firm, so that it may succeed.
If they lose the streets, they would lose Hong Kong’s future."
It is reported that over ten organizations in Hong Kong,
including the Umbrella Parents,
launched an anti-police brutality march on Dec. 7.
In addition, some residents voluntarily participated in the
28-hour hunger strike relay campaign in the tents outside
the hunger strike area occupied by Scholarism.
However, Scholarism student leader Joshua Wong said
that due to the shortage of medical personnel,
people other than Scholarism members are not encouraged
to join the hunger strike.
Interview/Zhu Zhishan Edit/ChenJie