【新唐人2012年6月11日讯】香港《南华早报》6月8号提出7人常委名单。报导说，胡锦涛团派只占两名，还不包括团派主将汪洋，其余都是江系太子党。不过，这则消息被认为是江派在十八大前为搅乱局势放出的又一烟雾弹。在此之前有报导说，中共中央军委中，2名副主席和8名军委委员联署，要求胡锦涛十八大后留任军委主席。如果胡锦涛留任两年军委主席，对中国政局、打击制衡江派会产生什么影响？请看《中国事务》杂志主编、伍凡的分析。
据香港《争鸣》杂志报导，5月初，军委副主席郭伯雄、徐才厚、军委委员梁光烈、陈炳德、李继耐、廖锡龙、常万全、靖志远、吴胜利、许其亮等，联署致函中央政治局及常委会，表示，在当前非常时期与极其复杂的国际形势下，他们以全军名义要求胡锦涛十八大后留任军委主席，统率全军应付局势。
《中国事务》主编伍凡：军队要控制国家的目地，不要让各个省，各个区，军阀割据也好，走上联邦制也好等等，不让它分散。现在它不是拚命发展武器吗，扩张军队，它用这股力量来控制整个国家，控制整个共产党和政府。那么要有一个人来出头，就用胡锦涛来代表军事力量控制这个党。
2006年5月，胡锦涛到黄海视察时曾被暗杀，死里逃生，据说，暗杀命令是江泽民的亲信—-海军司令员张定发下达的。那次的被暗杀，促使胡锦涛开始紧抓军权。2007年，胡锦涛最先从北京卫戍区司令员和政委“开刀”。当时还不是少将且缺少地方军区工作经验的李少军，突然接替了江泽民的亲信邱金凯的卫戍区司令职务。接着，胡锦涛又用自己的心腹—-房峰辉，换下原北京军区司令员朱启。同年，胡锦涛的现任“大秘”—-令计划升任中央办公厅主任，负责中央警卫局的调度。至此，胡锦涛全面掌控北京军权。
今年2月王立军事件后，胡温开始清理薄周势力，期间军方高层包括军委副主席、四总部和四兵种负责人都屡次表态效忠胡锦涛。
伍凡：“ 各个地方不听话，各种情况都有可能发生，你有了军事力量，你哪个地方不听话我马上抓你，就像对付薄熙来就这样。所以他这步棋，从对共产党来讲，对军队来讲，可能是对他们是最有利的，首先军队不乱，共产党乱不起来，那么用军队，武警拉在一起，控制全国。”
5月23号，胡锦涛罕见的会见了北京军区第十次党代表大会代表，强调“北京军区部队所处的战略地位非常重要”。北京军区的总兵力超过40万，防区为北京、天津、河北、山西和内蒙古。
伍凡：“主要是控制共产党，用军队来控制共产党，因为再过半年胡锦涛要下台，他不做总书记了，他也管不了政府了，他用军队来控制共产党，过去共产党绝对领导军队，实际上还有一句话，枪杆子里出政权，胡锦涛用军队来控制军队，控制全国，这是他的目地。”
中共历来凭军权说话，外界分析，胡锦涛大军在握，且通过“薄周案”已经清除江派主要势力，预计这次团派将占据常委会绝对优势，主导十八大布局。
采访/刘惠 编辑/许旻 后制/钟元
Hu Jintao Reported to Extend Post as Military Chief
On June 8, Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post
reported on a seven candidate list for the new Politburo
Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
The report said that the Youth League, led by Hu Jintao
will only take two seats, without its core member Wang Yang.
The remaining five seats are all taken by Jiang’s princelings.
The news is deemed another smoke bomb released
by Jiang Zemin’s faction ahead of the CCP’s 18th Congress.
Earlier, two Vice-Chairmen and eight members of the CCP
Central Military Commission (CMC) reportedly co-signed a letter,
requesting Hu Jintao to stay on as the CMC Chairman
after he retires at the 18th Party Congress.
With extended two year tenure, what impact will
Hu Jintao has to China’s political situation?
How will it impact countering Jiang’s faction?
Let’s see what the commentators say on this issue.
Hong Kong’s Chengming magazine reported that in early
May, a group of CCP Central Military Commission (CMC)
senior officials sent a co-signed letter to the Central
Politburo and the Standing Committee.
The co-signatories included CMC Vice Chairman
Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou.
It also included CMC members Liang Guanglie,
Chen Bingde, Li Jinai and so on…
The letter highlighted the current extraordinary times
and the extremely complex international situation.
On behalf of the whole army, all the co-signatories
asked Hu Jintao to stay on as the CMC Chief after his retirement at the18th Congress.
Hu is expected to command the whole army to cope
with the situation, the letter said.
Wu Fan, Chief Editor for China Affairs: “The reason behind
using the army to control the country is to prevent the occurrence of regional separatism or federalism.
Isn’ the army desperately strengthening
it’s military equipment now?
He uses this force to control the country,
the CCP and its regime.
So Hu Jintao is picked to represent the military force
that controls this Party.”
Hu Jintao escaped an assassination attempt during his
navy base inspection in Qingdao in May, 2006.
Jiang Zemin’s crony Zhang Dingfa, then Navy Commander,
was said to authorize the assassination order.
The survival caused Hu Jintao to take power over the military.
Hu’s first axe fell in 2007 upon the Beijing Garrison
Commander and political commissar.
Li Shaojun, ranked below Major General and lacking
regional military work experience,
suddenly succeeded Jiang’s crony Qiu Jinkai,
as Beijing Garrison Commander.
Fang Fenghui, Hu’s confidant, was then appointed
as the new Beijing Military Region Commander.
Fang replaced Zhu Qi. In the same year, Ling Jihua,
now Hu’s chief secretary, was promoted to be the CCP’s General Office Director.
Ling was in charge of the dispatch
of the Central Guard Unit.
At that time, Hu Jintao took full control
of the Beijing military.
Since the Wang Lijun’s incident in February, Hu Jintao
and Wen Jiabao began to purge forces headed by Bo Xilai and Zhou Yongkang.
Over these past few months, the military top-level,
including the CMC Vice Chairmen,
Four General Headquarters Chiefs and the four heads of
arms have repeatedly pledged loyalty to Hu Jintao.
Wu Fan: “When the regional chief shows
disobedience, anything can happen.
But the military force can take down the disobedient
individual right away, just as happened with Bo Xilai.
Hu’s action might be the most effective move for them.
The army’s stability is the top priority,
which can assure the CCP’s stability.
With the army and the armed police force
are in hand, they can control the whole country."
On May 23, Hu Jintao held an usual meeting with the deputies
at the 10th Party Congress of the Beijing Military Region.
Hu stressed that “the Beijing Military Region
occupies a very important strategic position.”
The Beijing Military Region has a total
of over 400,000 military personnel.
Its administration covers Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei Province,
Shanxi Province and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region.
Wu Fan: “The army is mainly used to control the CCP.
Because in half a year, Hu Jintao will step down from his
position as General Secretary, he’ll lose the authority to control the regime.
However, he can control the CCP with the army.
In the past, the CCP has absolute leadership over the army.
But there is a (CCP) saying: ‘power grows from
the barrel of the gun’
Hu Jintao uses the army to control the army,
and further to control the entire country. That’s his intention.”
In history, the CCP has always controlled situations
by relying on grabbing power over the military.
Commentators say that Hu Jintao, now with military power
in hand, has removed Jiang’s major factional forces by handling the case of Bo Xilai & Zhou Yongkang.
Hu’s Youth League force is expected to overwhelmingly
dominate the Politburo Standing Committee at the CCP’s 18th Party Congress, according to analysis.
