【新唐人2012年8月10日讯】有报导说，胡锦涛正在主导操控，让蒙古自治区书记胡春华直接进入中央政治局常委 ，或至少被提拔到上海，担任市委书记。而美国媒体预测，中共中央办公厅主任令计划，可望挤进中共中央政治局新任常委名单，评论指出，这一切都说明，胡锦涛要“隔代指定”权力核心，来长期稳固自己的权力。
随着中共十八大的临近，中共入常名单也成为外界关注的焦点，连日来海外媒体，相继传出了多个入常名单的版本。8月8号，《路透社》报导说，胡锦涛希望现任蒙古自治区书记的胡春华，直接进入中共的最高决策机构——中央政治局常委 ，或至少被提拔到上海，担任市委书记。
据了解，胡春华，现年49岁，他被看作是胡锦涛的亲信，和改革派人物之一。像胡锦涛一样，胡春华曾在西藏担任过多项职务，因为和胡锦涛有着相似的团派政治背景，又同姓，因而有“小胡”之称。
时事评论员林子旭表示，胡春华比习近平小十岁，如果他能够顺利入常，可能就是为“隔代指定”做准备。
时事评论员林子旭：“很长时间以来，一直有胡锦涛的大秘令计划要晋升政治局常委的报导，但是，现在又出现了胡锦涛要力挺胡春华入常的说法。不管这些传言中的人物是令计划也好，是胡春华也罢，它反映出了胡锦涛要隔代指定权力核心，以长时间稳固自己权力的心态。”
《路透社》报导，胡春华的职务升迁，将取决于胡锦涛和其他高层人物的交易。
林子旭：“胡春华要入常，难度将非常的大，但是这个消息爆出来了，胡春华就必然会被外界，以政治局常委候选人的身份来看待，这样就算最后胡锦涛力挺胡春华不成，他可以退而求其次的力推令计划入常。”
林子旭分析说，从这个意义上讲，胡春华入常的消息，很有可能是胡锦涛发出的烟雾弹，这样他可以为令计划入常，制造更大的回旋余地。
美国《纽约时报》的评论也指出，被视为胡锦涛大总管的令计划，尽管早前呼声极高，但今年初开始，关于令计划的负面传言不断，加上他现在甚至还不是政治局委员，让令计划一度被剔除在可能的新任常委名单外。但在胡锦涛力挺下，这次北戴河会议前后，令计划高调曝光，显示他的地位仍然稳固，有望进入常委。
时事评论员刘念春则有不同的看法，他认为，这是“反胡势力有意放风”。因为他们觉得胡锦涛不具备“隔代指定”定的实力，不能一锤定音，故意放风提醒胡锦涛这一点。
时事评论员 刘念春：“把胡锦涛做不到的事情给说出来，现在的话，提出这些事情，肯定就是刺激这些党内权贵，实际上我认为，放出这种风，实际上就是想给胡锦涛一个下马行。”
据报导，这种离任领导人，提拔自己的亲信以保留部分影响力，是中国政治的一个传统做法，一方面可以确保未完成的工作计划能够继续开展。另一方面，也可以保证退位的领导人及家人，不会遭到其他派别当政者的政治报复。
时事评论员刘淇昆：“可以说从王立军开始，中共就在全中国人民面前，全世界人民面前，上演争权夺利的一幕接着一幕的丑剧，中共中央作为一个整体，他们对人民是有罪的，他们的政权是非法的，他们之间的内斗，完全是狗咬狗的斗争。”
不过，也有分析指出，一旦内斗发展到各派的生存和权力利益无法调和时，，在权力洗牌和重组中，就会出现四分五裂，或同归于尽的局面。
采访编辑/常春 后制/王明宇
Does Hu Jintao Support Hu Chunhua?
Reports state Hu Jintao is trying to let Hu Chunhua,
Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Secretary in Mongolia
Autonomous Region join the Politburo Standing Committee.
At the least, Hu Jintao is trying to get Hu Chunhua
promoted as CCP Secretary of Shanghai.
U.S. media predicted that Ling Jihua, Director of the CCP
Central Committee General Office,
was likely to be a part of the list of the
new Politburo Standing Committee members.
This shows that Hu Jintao will appoint a power core
to solidify his power in a long term.
As the 18th National People’s Congress (NPC) approaches,
the list of Politburo Standing Committee members
has become a focus of media attention.
Recently, overseas media had released
several versions of the members list.
On August 8, Reuters reported that Hu Jintao wants
Hu Chunhua to join the CCP Politburo Standing Committee.
Hu Chunhua is currently CCP Secretary
of Mongolia Autonomous Region.
At the least, he could be promoted
to Shanghai as CCP Secretary.
Hu Chunhua, 49 years old, is regarded
as Hu Jintao’s ally, and a reformist figure.
Like Hu Jintao, Hu Chunhua has also
served various positions in Tibet.
He has a similar political background to that of Hu Jintao.
They also have the same family name,
so has been nicknamed ‘little Hu’.
Commentator Lin Zixu said that Hu Chunhua
is ten years younger than Xi Jinping.
If he could successfully become a member
of the Politburo Standing Committee,
he could be prepared as another generation of president.
Lin Zixu: “For a long time, it has been reported
that Ling Jihua, first secretary of Hu Jintao,
will enter the Politburo Standing Committee.
However, it is now said that Hu Jintao
will support Hu Chunhua.
Regardless of whether it is Ling Jihua, or Hu Chunhua,
it shows that Hu Jintao wants to appoint a power core
for the future, to solidify his power for a longer time.”
Reuters reported that Hu Chunhua’s career advancement
depends on the transaction between Hu Jintao and other senior figures.
Lin Zixu: “Hu Chunhua’s entering
the Standing Committee will be very difficult.
But the news has been released, so now he will
be regarded as a candidate for the Standing Committee.
If Hu Jintao fails to get him into the Standing Committee,
he can still support Ling Jihua into the Standing Committee.”
Lin Zixu analyzed that the news about Hu Chunhua
could be a distraction issued by Hu Jintao.
It creates greater room for maneuver for supporting
Ling Jihua to enter the Politburo Standing Committee.
A commentary by The New York Times highlights that
Ling Jihua, who is regarded as Hu’s general administrator,
has been widely speculated before.
Since the beginning of 2012, negative rumors
about Ling have been released more.
Ling is even not a member of the Politburo.
He was once removed from the list for new members
for the Politburo Standing Committee.
But with Hu Jintao’s support around the meeting in Beidaihe,
Ling Jihua was highly reported on, to show that his position
is still solid, and is expected to enter the Standing Committee.
Commentator Liu Nianchun has a different opinion.
He thinks this is an intentional message
released by anti Hu Jintao forces.
This is because they don’t think Hu has the power
to appoint the power core for the next generation.
Hu cannot decide himself, and those forces
are intentionally reminding him about it.
Liu Nianchun: “To speak about things that Hu Jintao
cannot do just stimulates those bigwigs in the CCP.
So I think to release these messages,
it is actually giving Hu Jintao a lot of fear.”
It is reported that outgoing leaders promoted their allies
to retain some influence, which is a traditional CCP practice.
On the one hand, it could ensure unfinished plans
can be continued to be carried out.
On the other hand, it could guarantee that
the leaders are abdicated,
and their families are not subject to political retaliation
from the other factions of power.
Political commentator Liu Qikun: “It can be said,
from when Wang Lijun fled,
that the CCP kept on highlighting scenes of power struggles
in front of Chinese people and the world.
The Central Committee of the CCP
as a whole is guilty to the people.
Their regime is illegal.
Infighting is entirely a dogfight.”
Outside analysis points out that once infighting for survival
and control of power between different factions cannot be reconciled,
the CCP will fall apart during transition of power
and restructuring, or even end in it’s death.
