【新唐人2012年8月14日讯】近年来，中国大陆各种社会问题不断显现，社会矛盾不断爆发。最近有学者指出，中国存在十大严重社会问题，并正在不断引爆，中共所谓的“大国崛起”已经无始而终。最糟糕的是，政改之路已被堵死，整个社会弥漫末世心态，与当年苏联共产党的末世景象非常相似。
日本《外交学者》杂志最近发表美国政治学家裴敏欣教授的文章指出，曾经有人认为中国大陆正在“崛起”，但近几年来，尤其是2008年北京奥运之后，中国大陆的各种形势发生了全面变化，一切都在走下坡路。
文章写到，自从卷入全球经济危机后，中国经济就再也没有恢复元气。因为独生子女政策导致的劳动力短缺、当局为片面追求快速增长而导致的环境恶化等问题，都会严重制约中国经济的增长。而最大的发展阻力则来自于中共体制本身，但当局几乎不可能进行根本性的变革，因为这会终结共产党的统治。
美国“纽约城市大学”经济学教授陈志飞对《新唐人》表示，裴敏欣教授所说的，并不是指中共政权在2008年达到了强盛，而是它多年来的苦心经营达到了最高峰。
陈志飞：“在这个顶峰之后，它就连苦心经营、补补帖帖的能力都没有了，会明显的暴露出衰败的景象。我们现在看到中共四面楚歌、内外交困的景象，恰恰反映出这一点。”
美国“南卡罗来纳大学”教授谢田也认为，中共的所谓“崛起”实际上从没有真正实现过，是无始而终。那些所谓的“崛起”成就都是站不住脚的。
美“南卡罗来纳大学”教授 谢田：“首先中国经济数字的真实性是完全值得怀疑的。第二，所谓的经济崛起，是在严重的牺牲了老百姓的利益、民众的利益，在一个贫富差距日益悬殊、贫富日益分化这样一个基础上造成的。”
《亚洲周刊》报导，大陆知名社会学家邓伟志通过研究，提出中国一系列社会问题中最突出的十大矛盾，这包括：权力过于集中；社会透明度太低；新闻舆论受到严格管控；经济畸形；贫富两极分化严重；城乡差距太大；腐败盛行；道德滑坡等。
谢田：“经济已经走到头，政治——实际上共产党的统治也走到头了。但实际上共产党本身不会轻易放弃它手中的权力，因为它血债太多，欠中国老百姓太多，作恶太多。”
据陈志飞教授介绍，在此之前，敏欣教授曾经通过研究得出结论，从政治、经济的角度看，一个专政制度最多只能维持70年。
陈志飞：“专制制度在现代社会这种模式下，它跟经济发展的这个冲突，还有和大众的需求（冲突），使得它只能勉强存在70年。”
《亚洲周刊》的报导指出，中国大陆当今的10大问题已经堵死了中共政改之路。如果要化解这10大社会矛盾，需要开拓新的思维。
采访/朱智善 编辑/李谦 后制/王明宇
Scholars Claim, The CCP’s Claim of ‘RISE’ Reached its Peak Even Before it Started.
In recent years more and more social problems
have emerged in Mainland China.
Along with this, social conflict has also been on the increase.
Some scholars have said, at present ten serious social conflicts
are threatening stability amongst the Chinese society.
The CCP’s claim to a, ‘Rise of a Great Nation’
has ended even before it begun.
The sad thing being, in China today,
there seems little hope of political reform.
The mood amongst the Chinese people of today,
is one of an end of an era.
Much like the situation before
the dissolution of the Soviet Union.
Japanese magazine ‘The Diplomat’, recently published
an article written by Pei Minxin, a political science professor.
The article remarked how a lot of people used to believe
Mainland China was “rising” in the world;
however, since the Beijing Olympics the situations in China
have completely changed becoming ever worse in almost every aspect.
The article wrote how China’s economics had never
recovered since being involved in the global economic crisis.
Also, due to a one-child policy and the havoc created
by CCP’s short term pursuits to an economic output,
all these things will have serious impact upon the future
developments in China.
Yet the biggest problem still lays in the nature of CCP
regime itself.
The CCP would never itself, implement any real political
change,
since this would mean the end of its governance and control.
Chen Zhifei, economics professor from City University
of New York (CUNY), told NTD
Professor Pei’s article only indicated the CCP’s regime had
reached its peak in 2008,
in an elaborative “rising” of image in front of the global society.
It did not however indicate any real proof of national strength.
(Cheng Zhifei, economics professor from CUNY):
”After the peak in 2008, the CCP even lost its capability in maintaining its image & hiding problems,
which was quickly followed by the eventual decline of the
whole regime.
This can be confirmed by all the difficulties the CCP
has currently had to handle, both from inside and outside, as we can now see.”
Xie Tian, professor at University of South Carolina,believes,
the CCP’s claim to a “rise” had never been achieved;
the “rise” had reached its end even before it had started;
all the arguments in favor of the “rise” were untenable.
(Xie Tian, professor at University of South Carolina):
”First of all, the reliability of official statistics about China’s economy is definitely questionable.
Second, the so-called “economic development” is based
upon sacrificing the benefits of most Chinese civilians.
This development only leads to an increasing gap
between the wealthy and the poor.”
Hong Kong magazine Yazhou Zhoukan, reported how a famous
Chinese sociologist, Deng Weizhi presented China’s ten most prominent problems, according to his research.
The problems include: low social transparency, strict control
over media, malfunctioning economy,
huge gaps between the wealthy and the poor, unbalanced
development between urban and rural areas, rampant corruptions and a decline in morality.
(Xie Tian, professor at University of South Carolina):
”China’s economy has almost come to its end, along with the CCP’s governance.
The real problem lies in the fact, CCP won’t easily
give up its power.
It has committed too many crimes upon the Chinese people.
Too many ‘Bloody Debts’ are now weighing heavily upon it.”
Chen Zhifei introduced a fact, according to previous research
by Professor Pei Minxin, a dictatorship regime can only sustain up to 70 years politically & economically.
(Cheng Zhifei): ”Under the mode of modern society,
the dictatorship regime conflicts with the economic development and public needs,
which then limits its lifetime to no longer than 70 years.”
Yazhou Zhoukan’s report remarked how the ten serious
social problems had blocked all possible paths towards a successful & political reform by the CCP;
it would require some new thinking methods to resolve
all those conflicts.
