【新唐人2012年9月1日讯】海内外各界都紧盯着的中共十八大，很有可能在接下来的几周内登场。十八大之后，不少人曾经报以幻想的“胡温新政”将走入历史，而新的中共领导核心，在经历了连番的抢夺厮杀并登上权力高位后，又将把苦难深重的中国带向何方？
今天中共面对的内外局势，比以往严峻很多，无论内政、外交或经济，都发出了警讯。
最新消息指称，新的中共七常委人选已经有了预案，但分析认为，十八大权力交接并不乐观。因为牵扯到江胡习三届核心的合纵连横，加上薄熙来、王立军案的影响，一切都比往常复杂许多。
独立评论员、中国社会问题研究人士张健：“看似利益已经平衡了，但是一旦有一个事件作为爆发点的话，它又会形成一个重新的力量组合。”
时政评论专家伍凡也指出，即使开了十八大，很多问题还是无法解决。因为结构性的问题，并非换下几个人就能解决的。
时政评论家伍凡：“他们现在也在更重要的矛盾底下，又要维持这个政权，要平衡，并且从老百姓手上拿了那么多钱财，所以很多矛盾它无法解决。它一拖再拖，拖到最后，那就总爆发。你期望开十八大能解决这些问题吗？那是痴人梦想。”
另一方面，所谓中国的经济“神话”逐渐破灭，社会各种矛盾也渐渐显露出来，甚至全面爆发。GDP数字，就官方所宣布的，“保8”如今也已成了难以实现的悬念。
而这一切将由“习李新体制”买单。那么，习近平将会给疲软的经济纾困吗？中国经济困境的解药又在哪里？
美国“南卡罗来纳大学”教授谢田认为，这要看习近平上台以后，在政治上有什么举措。
美“南卡罗来纳大学”教授谢田：“我们知道中国经济目前陷入非常困难的状况。中国许多产业都出现了生产过剩，但是共产党还在继续营造假的GDP，所以中国从刺激经济那些钱，到现在极度浪费和重复的投资，根源都是共产党的一党专制。”
谢田指出，习近平必须看清一点，造成经济停滞，进出口增速下降，通货膨胀，民怨日增，一切的根源都是“中共”。
谢田：“如果习近平能够意识到这一点，顺应民意，解体中共，在他的手上把中共解体了，也许中国的经济局势才会有所变化。如果他死抱着维护共产党的统治这一点的话，那造成经济困境的原因不能解除的话，那中国经济只能继续往下走。”
另外，对于全球都关注的薄熙来事件，虽然《世界新闻网》的社论认为，如果习近平接手处理这一政治难题，薄熙来东山再起的任何可能性都将被截断，因为要为薄熙来翻案，就等于要否定习近平。
但是，由“王薄案”引爆的中共高层内斗，其中一个无法绕过的核心问题，就是法轮功的问题，习近平有勇气面对吗？
张健认为，只要明白中共有多邪恶，就不会幻想魔鬼迫害人之后，还道歉﹗
张健：“不要幻想胡锦涛这一代，或者十八大之后，新一代的领导人对法轮功有任何平反的行为。根本就不可能，这种幻想就（等于）与虎谋皮。中国从49年，所有几千万人，他们说的冤魂，都会得到昭雪。它怎么可能几代之后，就把中国几千年的文明恢复，把自己犯下的罪行整个颠覆了？”
当然，一切并没有最后定局。不过，当今的中共当权者，在所谓的盛世中感受到的危机，也许比100年前的清政府，更加直接和紧迫。
采访/唐睿 编辑/王子琦 后制/王明宇
Xi Jinping in power, Where is China Going?
People from all walks of life at home and abroad are focusing
on the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) 18th National Congress,
which is likely to debut in the next few weeks.
A lot of people imagine that Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao’s reform
policy will soon be history after the 18th National Congress.
Having been through infighting and coming out on top in the end,
in which direction will the new CCP leadership take China?
Let’s take a look.
Now the CCP is facing internal and external situations
that are much more severe than in the past.
Whether it’s economic, domestic or foreign affairs all areas
have issued alerts.
New allegations reveal that the CCP’s seven member Standing
Committee candidates already have contingency plans,
but analysts believe that a power transfer at the 18th National
Congress is not optimistic.
Because it involves the intrigue of third core of Jiang Zemin,
Hu Jintao, Xi Jinping, plus Bo Xilai and Wang Lijun’s cases,
everything is made much more complex than usual.
Independent commentator Zhang Jian: “It seems that the
interests of all parties have been balanced,
but once an incident becomes a breaking point,
it will form a re-alignment of forces."
Wu Fan, current affairs special commentator, also pointed out
that even with the start of the 18th National Congress,
many problems still cannot be resolved.
Because of the political structure of the problem,
they will not be solved by replacing a few leaders.
Current affairs commentator Wu Fan: “Currently, they are
facing major conflicts, in order to maintain power, they need to balance all aspects.
They’ve taken so much money from the people of China;
so many conflicts cannot be resolved.
[Conflicts] accumulate and accumulate until the end, they erupt.
If someone expects to solve these problems in
the 18th National Congress, they are dreaming"
On the other hand, the so-called economic “myths" have
gradually been busted,
the various conflicts in society are gradually being revealed,
and even on a full-scale.
More than 8% economic growth rate, announced by the
official GDP data, which also has been difficult to achieve.
And all of these will be paid for by “Xi and Li’s new system".
Then, can Xi Jinping solve the problem of the sluggish economy?
What is the answer to China’s economic plight?
Xie Tian, Professor at University of South Carolina, thinks that
it depends on Xi Jinping’s political initiatives when he grasps power.
Professor Xie Tian: “As we all know, China’s economy
is caught in a very difficult situation.
The problem of overproduction has emerged in
many industries in China.
But the Communist Party continues to produce fake GDP.
So the money of stimulating the economy,
and now extreme waste and duplication of investment,
the root causes are the Communist Party’s
one-party dictatorship."
Xie Tian pointed out that Xi Jinping must understand clearly
that the root of the economic standstill, import and export growth slowing,
inflation, and the increases in public grievances, is the CCP.
Xie Tian: “If Xi Jinping can realize that he should heed the
public’s will to dismiss the Communist Party, perhaps China’s economic situation will be changed.
If he still maintains the rule of the Communist Party, the causes
of the economic hardship can not be discharged, and the Chinese economy can only go down."
In addition, regarding worldwide attention to the Bo Xilai event,
“World News" editorial pointed out that if Xi Jinping takes over
to deal with the political problem, any possibility of Bo’s being re-enabled will be truncated.
Because of Bo reversing the verdict, it is tantamount to
negation of Xi Jinping.
However, the inner senior bucket of the CCP triggered by the
“Wang and Bo case", the core problem is the issue of Falun Gong,
has Xi Jinping enough courage to face it?
Zhang Jian believes that as long as someone understands
how evil the CCP is,
then he will not have illusions that the devil
will apologize to the persecuted people!
Zhang Jian: “Don’t have any illusions for the generation of
Hun Jintao and the elected leaders after the 18th national congress.
It is impossible. This illusion is unrealistic.
After 1949 the Chinese Communists killed tens of millions of
people, these innocent people will get justice.
How it can be only a few generations later,
and it renews China’s thousands of years of civilization?
Will it subvert all the crimes they have committed? “
Of course, everything does not have a final conclusion.
However, the current Chinese Communist Party in power
perceived crisis in the so-called Golden Age,
who are perhaps more than 100 years ago,
the Qing government, more directly and urgently.
