【新唐人2012年11月12日讯】十八大报告提出,实现2020年居民收入倍增,全面建成小康社会的目标。中共早在十六大、十七大就提出要全面建设小康社会。有民众说,十年来除了拆房,生活没什么改变。还有评论说,中国老百姓不需要中共来领导致富,中共不存在了老百姓才有希望全面小康。
中共近年来的三次党代会都提出要实现全面小康,不过官媒报导说,十八大不同于往届党代会,除了GDP增长目标之外,首次将居民收入增长列入发展目标。但许多民众认为,这个目标不可能达到。据报导,有北京市民表示,过去10年感觉唯一的变化就是“拆了些房子”。北京一名店主说,十八大报告中看不到有什么实质性内容。对她来说,十八大最切身的影响,莫过于这个地区人流减少和生意下滑了,她说﹕“查这查那,这不让卖那不让卖的”。
这项中共总书记胡锦涛在十八大上提出的目标﹕在2020年让居民收入倍增,经济专家认为,要达到这项目标,大陆经济年增长率必须维持7%到9%的水平。美国“南卡莱罗纳大学艾肯商学院”教授谢田分析说,中国经济在未来8年,不可能保持7%到9%的增长水平。
美“南卡莱罗纳大学艾肯商学院”教授谢田:“首先中国的数字是不可信的。不管是从房地产泡沫来说也好,或者是其他各种产能过剩也好,我们知道他这个经济发展已经到了瓶颈,没有办法再发展了。从出口,投资基建和内需市场这三个方面,再加上中共官员虚报数字,弄虚作假这些数字全部考虑进去看,我觉得中国经济在未来十年很难达到7 %-9%。”
而根据官方数据,2010年中国城镇居民人均可支配收入为19109元(人民币),农村居民人均纯收入为5919元。 2011年,这两者的实际增速分别为8.4%和11.4%。有人因此认为,按照这样的发展速度,有可能实现2020年的居民收入倍增的目标。
中国问题专家蓝述:“数字都是虚的,没什么用。因为数字翻一翻,通货膨胀翻一翻,到头来还是等于没有翻。中共对中国人民的承诺从来就没有实现过。刚刚夺取政权的时候说要给人民好日子过,结果中共搞了三十年,后三十年所谓少数人先富起来,最后发现是少数特权阶层,把前三十年大伙勒紧裤腰带,创造出来的财富,装到自己口袋里先富起来了。”
十八大前夕,《中国青年报》公布调查,多数受访者反映,“贫富差距扩大”将成为中国未来10年的主要问题。中国人民银行稍早前的调查显示,中国前10%最富有家庭的收入,占整体家户收入的57%。贫富差距悬殊严重的阻碍了经济发展。而不断加大的贫富鸿沟,也成为社会不稳定的主要诱因。
蓝述:“中国的老百姓需要的是一个均等的致富机会,因为中共实际上是凌驾于法律之上,他们有更多的致富机会。而绝大部分老百姓没有致富机会。中国人民需要一个民主制度,能够监督执政党的民主的制度,每一个人都有一个大致均等致富机会,这个就是中国人最需要的,中共不能给中国人这个,怎么叫领导中国人民致富?”
中国问题专家蓝述还表示,中国人民需要平等的政治权利和经济权利,如果没有中共的特权盘剥,人民的聪明才智才能最大限度的发挥出来,走上致富道路。
蓝述﹕“共产党靠边站,中国人民是个最勤劳的民族,不用共产党管,富起来最快,过去的历史不就这样证明了吗?以前搞人民公社,搞的大家都饿肚子,最后共产党不管了,‘承包到户’自己干,很快就富起来了,这就是一个最简单的例子。”
谢田认为,中共政权解体在即,恐怕都熬不到今年底,还谈什么2020年目标。
采访/易如 编辑/许旻 后制/肖颜
Ten Years of House Demolitions Since the 16th National Congress; Building an Overall Well-off Society
The report delivered during the 18th National Congress
emphasized the goal of doubling income by 2020 and building an overall well-off society.
As early as the 16th National Congress, the CCP mentioned
building an overall well-off society.
People exclaimed that for more than 10 years, nothing
has changed except that houses were torn down.
Some criticized the CCP’s ruling, saying the Chinese don’t need
the CCP to become wealthy, and only when the CCP is gone will there be hope to attain wealth.
Building a well-off society has been mentioned in three
consecutive CCP National Congresses.
The CCP mouthpiece reported that increasing income
was for the first time listed as part of the development goal.
Many people don’t believe this goal is possible.
A Beijing resident expressed that his only feeling for the past
10 years was that houses were torn down according to a news report.
A Beijing store owner criticized the fact that there’s nothing
concrete in the 18th National Congress report.
To her, the 18th National Congress only causes less business
and customers.
She says, “So many investigations; We aren’t allowed to sell
many items.”
Hu Jintao delivered a goal in his 18th National Congress report.
“Double the income by 2020,” he said.
To achieve this goal, the Mainland economy must maintain
an annual growth rate of 7% to 9%.
Professor Xie Tian of University of South Carolina Aiken
does not believe China will be able to maintain this growth level for the next 8 years.
University of South Carolina Aiken Professor Xie Tian:
“First, the Chinese figures are not credible.
We know from the real estate bubble and various over-capacities,
China’s economic development has come to a bottleneck, a dead end.
Considering export, infrastructural investment and domestic
market, coupled with the CCP false data,
China’s economy will have a hard time to reach the
growth rate of 7% -9% in the next few years."
Official data suggested that in 2010, China’s urban resident’s
per capita disposable income was 19,109 yuan (RMB),
and the per capita net income of rural resident’s
was 5,919 yuan.
In 2011, the actual growth rate was 8.4% for urban
and 11.4% for rural.
According to this pace, it was therefore believed income
will double by 2020.
China affair expert Lan Su: “All the figures are false and useless.
Double the digits, and double the inflation.
At the end, it is equivalent to nothing.
None of the CCP’s promises have ever been fulfilled.
It was said a better life would be given with its ruling
for 30 years. 30 years later, few had a better life.
But you realize the CCP only creates wealth for the few
vested with them.
They got rich from the money collected by tightening
people’s belts for over 30 years."
Prior to the 18th National Congress, China Youth Daily
reported on a survey in which the majority of respondents felt
the widening gap between the rich and the poor will become
a major problem over the next 10 years in China.
An earlier investigation of the People’s Bank of China showed
China’s top 10% family income of the richest people account
for 57% of the overall household income.
This disparity seriously impedes economic development.
The ever increasing rich-poor gap has also become
the main cause of social instability.
Lan Su: “The Chinese people need an equal opportunity
to get rich.
The CCP is actually above the law and they have more
opportunity to get rich, while the vast majority of people do not.
The Chinese need a democratic system to monitor the ruling party
so that everyone has an approximately equal opportunity to get rich.
This is what the Chinese people need, but the CCP will not give.
How can the CCP lead to the wealth of the people?"
China affairs expert Lan Su also indicates that the Chinese
people need equal political and economic rights.
Without CCP privileges and exploitation, people’s ingenuity
will then be fully developed and they’ll walk the path to wealth.
Lan Su: “The CCP should let go.
China is the most industrious nation.
Without the Communist Party, Chinese people will get rich
the fastest. The past has proven this.
With the people’s communes, everyone was starving.
Without the people’s communes, people worked themselves
and got rich quickly. That’s an example."
Xie Tian believes the CCP will disintegrate soon,
and probably won’t make it to the end of this year.
Therefore, he wonders why they bother talking about
the 2020 goal.