【新唐人2012年11月13日讯】中共总书记胡锦涛在十八大上的一番“邪路说”，让对中共政改仍抱幻想的各界人士跌破眼镜，完全失望。随后，中共喉舌媒体立马跟进，刊登文章强调，中国的体制改革绝不能照搬西方民主模式。那么，到底十八大后，中共领导人要走什么路？各界关注。
今年的中共十八大，在王立军、薄熙来案所引发的惊涛骇浪和血雨腥风的内斗氛围中，在北京拉开帷幕。但是，胡锦涛在十八大开幕当天所做的报告中，并没有列出外界所期待的政改内容。他还指出，中国既不走老路，也不扛新旗，并指称改旗易帜为“邪路”。
11号，《人民日报》刊登文章说，“政治体制事关安危存亡 不能浮躁盲动”。《新华社》也刊登通讯，再次强调胡锦涛在十八大报告中提到的“绝不照搬西方政治制度模式”。
时事评论员史达：“十八大让全体西方人看了以后，觉得中共想政治改革是不可能的；中国人觉得中共会改好，这也是完全失望；海外中国人希望慢慢的中共会变好，我看也是完全失望。”
12号，《人民日报》再发一文，声称所谓的“社会主义法治”，强调的是“党的事业至上、人民利益至上、宪法法律至上”，还要所谓“坚持党的领导、人民当家作主、和依法治国”。
史达：“世界上不可能有三个（同时）‘至上’的东西。所谓三个‘至上’的第一个，中共‘党的事业至上’、‘坚持党的领导’，这才是它要说的话。国内党民利益冲突、党民对立、中共党的非法性、中共党员的违法，大家都看的太多；所以，人民跟法律不可能‘至上’，只是中共践踏的对像而已。”
而时事评论员刘国华指出，所谓要“坚持共产党的领导”，就不会有真正意义上的政改。
时事评论员刘国华：“中共一党统治天下，是中国社会百病丛生的一个根源。现在他们既要提出来要坚持共产党的领导，又要搞政改，这是一个极端矛盾的说法。”
《人民日报》的文章还说：“多党轮流执政、两院制和三权分立不适合中国国情”。而在十八大前，中共媒体曾多次刊登文章，呼吁政改。当时曾引发外界揣测。有人认为，在经历接二连三的丑闻和尴尬后，中共领导人很可能在政治层面进行改革。
时事评论员史达指出，十八大旗帜鲜明的表白了中共不会变。
史达：“顽固的坚持以民为敌的大会，有点像北韩死走中共所谓‘社会主义道路’，一条黑路走到底。期望中共自己改好、慢慢来，我看大家会一次、再一次的失望，这种失望的例子已经很多了。这种经历已经很多了。中共谎言加暴力的本质是不会变的。十八大是一个很好的例子。”
另外，刘国华指出，中共不解体，中国不可能发生大的变化。而这次十八大，前4届的常委都跑到主席台上，这在中共历史上是头一次。虽然像江泽民和周永康等策划政变的背后人物，都被搬到前台来营造中共党内团结的假相，但刘国华认为，习近平掌权后，他可能会采取一些行动。
刘国华：“我认为，十八大以后，习近平主政以后，中共将会发生一些变化。他尽管现在嘴上说要‘坚持共产党领导’，但是薄熙来和周永康搞的政变虽然破产了，但这个政变的伤害力非常非常大。如果政变成功的话，习近平肯定是脑袋落地。而且中国社会将大步后退。”
中国著名媒体人、《冰点》杂志前主编李大同对《美国之音》表示，习近平作为一号人物，他的历史责任感有别于普通人，他也充分了解中国问题的症结在于中共。是否要结束它，这是习近平需要下决心的地方。
采访/常春 编辑/王子琦 后制/君卓
Which Road Will the CCP Take After the 18th Congress?
People from all walks of life are expressing their complete
disappointment over the CCP’s unsuccessful political reform
and general secretary Hu Jintao’s speech on the “evil road”
at the Chinese Communist Party(CCP)’s 18th congress.
Afterwards, the CCP’s mouthpiece media immediately
issued articles emphasizing that
the CCP’s system reform could not copy
the western democratic models.
So people of all circles are asking with concern: “which road
will the CCP’s new leadership take after the 18th Congress?”
This year’s 18th Party Congress was held in Beijing under
the circumstance of the bloody inside fighting which arose from the events of Wang Lijun and Bo Xilai.
However, Hu’s opening day speech did not list the contents
of political reform as expected by people of all circles.
Hu also pointed out that, China will “neither go down the old
road nor change its flag”, calling the latter an “evil road”.
On November 11, the People’s Daily issued an article saying:
“The political system reform is related to the CCP’s safety; the party cannot act blindly”.
Xinhua News Agency also reported; again emphasizing that
the CCP “absolutely cannot copy western political models”, echoing Hu’s speech from the 18th Congress.
Shi Da, Political Commentator:
“After watching the 18th Congress, westerners will think that
it’s impossible for the CCP to perform political reform.
The Chinese who thought that the CCP would become better
are completely disappointed;
the overseas Chinese who hope the CCP will gradually
become better—I think they will also be disappointed.”
On November 12, the People’s Daily again issued an article
insisting on the so-called “socialist rule of law”;
emphasizing that “the Party’s cause comes first,
people’s profits come first, and the constitution and laws come first.”
The article also stressed: “adhering to the Party’s leadership;
for people to manage their households;
and administering the country by rule of law”.
Shi Da, Political Commentator:
“It’s impossible for the three ‘first’s to exist together;
among them is ‘the Party’s cause comes first’ and ‘adhering to
the Party’s leadership’—this is what they indeed want to say.
We’ve seen too many conflicts amid the Party and the people,
such as on interest and profits,
or the Party and the people opposing the corrupt nature of
the CCP and its members—we’ve all seen too much.
So the people and the law can’t both be ‘first’;
they are only objects being trampled on by the Party.”
Political commentator Liu Guohua says, there’s no real sense
in political reform if the CCP are still going to emphasize ‘adhering to the Party’s leadership’.”
Liu Guohua: “The one-party rule of the CCP is the
fundamental reason for for all kind of conflicts in mainland China.
Now, they are not only insisting on the Party’s dictatorship,
but also on putting forward political reform—it’s an extremely contradictory statement.”
An article by the People’s Daily said, “It is not suitable for
China’s national conditions, for them to turn to a multi-party,
bicameral ruling system with a separation of powers.”
Shi Da says the 18th Congress definitely showed that
the CCP will never change.
Shi Da: “The Congress stubbornly insisted on being against
the people a bit like the so-called north Korean ‘socialist road’ in the end.
Hoping the CCP will become better, gradually become better,
I think people will be disappointed—disappointed again.
These kinds of experiences are too numerous;
the nature of the CCP—its lies and violence—won’t change,
the 18th Congress is a good sample.”
Also Liu Guohua points out that China will not see any
major changes if the CCP is not dissolved.
At the congress the politburo standing committee members
from the former four sessions all sat on the podium, for the first time in CCP history.
Like Jiang Zemin and Zhou Yongkang, figures behind major
coup plots were brought to the podium to create a false image of Party unity.
However, Liu Guohua thinks Xi Jinping may take some action
after taking power.
Liu Guohua: “I think Xi will take power after the congress
and the CCP will undergo some changes,
despite its insisting on people
adhering to the Partys leadership.
Though the coup of Bo and Zhou didnt succeed,
the damage could have been really huge.
If the coup had succeeded, Xi would have been killed
and Chinese society would have taken a big step backward.”
Famous media reporter, the chief editor of Ice Point magazine,
Li Datong told the Voice of America that, as the CCP’s chief,
Xi’s historical responsibility is different from others.
Xi also knows that the CCP is the fundamental cause behind
China’s social problems—whether to end the CCP is what Xi must decide.
