【新唐人2013年01月16日讯】几天前，中日在钓鱼岛空域首度出现军机对峙，大有中日战争一触即发之势。而中共总参谋部颁发《2013年全军军事训练指示》，要求全军和武警部队2013年要强化打仗思想、做好打仗准备。年前，习近平不但承诺提升全军待遇，还修订嘉奖条例，一次作战奖金可高达数亿元。不过外界认为，中共目前不可能与日本开战，习近平在军队高谈对日作战，是因为习近平在党内和军内的权威，受到了除团派以外的其他利益集团的挑战，他需要用这种方式来迎合军中“鹰派”，。
日前中共军方媒体发表“总参谋部：2013年要强化打仗思想 做好打仗准备”一文后，被大陆媒体大量转载。 《2013年全军军事训练指示》要求，2013年，全军和武警部队要紧紧围绕能打仗、打胜仗的目标，以军事斗争准备任务为牵引，大力加强实战化军事训练。
另据香港《争鸣》杂志报导，年前，中央政治局审议通过了“中央军事委员会关于坚决维护国家固有领土钓鱼岛主权，作好坚实军事斗争部署”的决议。军方四总部、各军兵种、各大军区提交请战书。
习近平承诺保障提升全军待遇。十二月初中央政治局、国务院又修订、通过有关提高对军事、国防科技等方面嘉奖条例。其中包括：军事武器装备研制创新嘉奖提高十到五十倍﹔特等奖：个人最高二千万元，集体奖最高两亿元。战斗中的嘉奖提高二十倍到一百倍。
时政评论家蓝述指出，只要中国国内的矛盾，还能用枪杆子镇压下去，中共就不会向日本开战。
时政评论家蓝述：“江泽民在位时大量提拔将军，到胡锦涛上台时，没有那么多军衔可给了，所以他给军队涨工资，那么到了习近平，他只能做的事情是提高一些奖金，同时迎合军内鹰派的声音，树立他在军内的威信，应对他在军内面对的挑战。”
中国在第二次世界战争后，多次拒绝托管钓鱼岛，中共在50年代为了对付美国，多次声明钓鱼岛属于日本领土。
蓝述认为，如果中共把钓鱼岛的事件上交国际法庭，中共一定会输，但是因为日本在侵华战争中欠中国太多，如果中共愿意和日本谈判，日本一定愿意共同开发钓鱼岛。
蓝述：“钓鱼岛打起来之后，物质利益不大，除了炒作民族情绪之外，中共肯定要输掉的，东盟十国马上全部会倒向美日，第二，台湾问题会变得非常复杂，中共这么多年在台湾的投资很可能一下就泡汤，另外习近平和第五代领导人会面临一个巨大的风险，中国海军的装备远远比不上日本，还不包括日本背后的美日同盟。”
有军事评论员说，军事立威，从来都是中共新领导班子上台后必演的故伎。
中国公民监政会发起人郭永丰：“为中国权贵打仗呢，还是为人民打仗呢，国内问题都解决不好，你还那么去搞，我想这个仗是绝对打不起来的，他也就是狐假虎威吓唬一下，如果真要打的话，他也是等于自杀。”
《争鸣》还透露，中央军委副主席范长龙在视察北京军区空军部队、东海舰队、潜艇大队、驻山东二炮地对地导弹旅、驻大连特种兵部队时，都针对钓鱼岛事件作出准备战斗号召。
郭永丰：“如果真要打的话，他就是转移国内矛盾的视线，让国内被蒙蔽的老百姓支援前线，但是目前说句老实话，老百姓也不愿意去给他做炮灰，非要打仗，向老百姓去搜刮，老百姓承受不了，可能也要反抗。”
“中国公民监政会”发起人郭永丰还表示，中共历来对外称“奴才”，对内欺压百姓从不手软，在国内，即使真正的愤青们也很透了中共的权贵，只有五毛愤青才为中共摇旗呐喊。
采访编辑/刘惠 后制/君卓
China’s Getting Ready for War Is Only a Bluff
A few days ago, Japanese aircraft,
above the Diaoyu (Senkaku) Islands airspace,
confronted China’s military aircraft for the first time.
It was as if a Sino-Japanese War
could break out at any moment.
China’s General Staff Headquarters issued
“2013 military training instructions”.
This requested the military and armed forces to
strengthen combat thoughts and good combat preparation.
Last year, Xi Jinping not only promised to enhance the
entire military situation but also revise awards payouts.
A combat bonus can be of several hundred million dollars.
But outsiders say that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
is currently not capable to go to war with Japan.
Xi Jinping is talking about the war against Japan,
because he is challenged by other interest groups.
His authority within the party and within the military
is being threatened.
He needs to use war with other nations to cater to the
“hawks" in the military to establish his authority with them.
Chinese military media very recently published the “training
instructions” to strengthen combat thoughts and preparation.
This was also published by many Mainland media.
Military forces and armed police need to focus on fighting well
and winning to actually strengthen combat military trainings.
According to Hong Kong “Contend" magazine,
two years ago, the Political Bureau of the CCP
adopted a resolution of the Central Military Commission
to safeguard China’s sovereignty over the Diaoyu (Senkaku) Islands, and to prepare a solid military combat.
Four general headquarters of the military,
all branches of the military and military regions submitted written request for battle.
Xi Jinping promised protection to enhance the
whole army treatment.
In early December, the Political Bureau of the CCP Central
Committee and the State Council amended ordinance for
advancement of the military, national defense and science
and technology awards.
Research and innovation awards of military weapons and
equipment were increased by ten to fifty times.
The Grand Prize for personal awards was up to 20 million
yuan and collective awards of up to two hundred million yuan.
Combat awards increased a hundred times.
Political critic, Lan Shu said as long as
China’s domestic issues can be suppressed with guns, the CCP will not go to war with Japan.
Lan Shu: “When Jiang Zemin was in power,
he promoted a large number of generals.
When Hu Jintao came to power, he gave the military a raise.
Now, Xi Jinping is in power, the only thing he can offer is the
prize money, catering to the needs of hawks within the military.
This will also establish his authority in order to face the
challenges within the military."
After the Second World War, China repeatedly refused to
host the Diaoyu Islands.
In the 1950’s, the CCP stated many times that the Diaoyu Islands
belonged to Japan, in order to deal with the United States.
Lan Shu believes if the Diaoyu islands incident were turned
over to the International Tribunal, the CCP will lose for sure.
Since Japan owed China a lot due to the Sino-Japanese invasion,
the CCP can negotiate with Japan if it chooses.
Japan will join in to develop the Diaoyu Islands
willingly with the CCP.
Lan Shu: “The Diaoyu Islands offer very little material interests,
except it can hype up nationalism sentiments.
The CCP will lose and ten ASEAN countries will immediately
team up with the United States and Japan.
The second issue is Taiwan, which will become very complicated.
All the CCP’s investment of many years in Taiwan will be wasted.
Xi Jinping and the fifth generation of leaders will face a huge risk.
The Chinese navy’s equipment is far less than Japan.
This is not counting the US-Japan alliance behind Japan"
Some military commentators say, getting credit from military
has always been the trick for the new leadership of the CCP.
Guo Yongfeng, founder of Chinese Citizens Monitoring
Council: “Are you fighting for the Chinese dignitaries or fighting for the Chinese people?
We cannot even resolve our domestic conflicts
and we want to start a war.
I don’t believe it is likely to happen. If the CCP really wants
to fight, it will be like committing suicide.”
“Contend ” also revealed that Central Military Commission
Vice Chairman Fan Changlong made a “ready to fight” call.
He was inspecting the Beijing Military Region Air Force,
the East China Sea Fleet submarine brigade,
the Second Artillery Corps, the surface-to-surface missile
brigade in Shandong, and the Dalian Special Forces.
Guo Yongfeng: “If they really want to fight,
they are just shifting the domestic view.
They ask the public to support the front blindly.
However, to be honest, people are reluctant to fight for them or lose their lives for that.
People even resist exorbitant taxes,
which they can no longer afford.”
Guo Yongfeng, founder of the Chinese Citizen monitoring
Council, thinks the CCP has always acted like a weakling in dealing with other countries,
but they are brutal toward the Chinese people.
In China, even the angry youths hate the CCP’s guts, only
the paid youth supporters will cheer the CCP on, he said.
