【新唐人2014年02月08日讯】有关中共国家主席习近平抵达俄罗斯索契，出席“冬季奥运会”开幕礼的话题，继续延烧。此行既是中共领导人首次赴境外出席大型国际体育活动，又是习近平自去年初全面掌政以来，与俄罗斯总统普京的第五度会面。习近平此行高调出访的政治深意，以及中、俄、日之间的微妙关系，尤其引人瞩目。
6号中午，习近平飞抵俄罗斯索契。当天下午，习近平与普京举行会晤，这是两国元首今年的首次会晤。
这次“冬季奥运会”开幕礼，被西方大国“冷处理”，虽然这些国家没有公开说明拒绝参加的原因，但是，普京治下的俄罗斯人权记录屡遭批评，因此，习近平此行被视为是“为普京脸上贴金”。
旅美政论家伍凡认为，西方拒绝参加索契“冬季奥运会”开幕礼，除了人权问题，还包括俄罗斯帮助叙利亚政府镇压当地老百姓、以及乌克兰的问题。俄罗斯一直拉住乌克兰的左派，不让乌克兰进入欧盟。而在这些问题上，中、俄却有着相似的立场和利益。
旅美政论家伍凡：“第一，要（普京）买它的石油。 第二，他们在叙利亚和乌克兰的问题上，基本上立场是一致的。但是中国没有那么嚣张、那么明目张胆。普京非常嚣张。习近平希望拉着俄罗斯壮胆，跟美国人、日本人来斗。”
据俄国媒体报导，普京的新闻秘书德米特里•佩斯科夫透露，包括习近平与日本首相安倍晋三在内的44位外国政要，将出席7号的开幕仪式。
这是安倍自去年12月26号参拜“靖国神社”以来，首次和习近平同时在国际场合同场亮相。他们此番在索契握手交谈的机会被视为微乎其微，但两人之间有何互动、有否互动，中、俄、日之间的关系，都成为此次“冬奥会”的重要话题。
香港《经济日报》的文章分析，目前中共的周边外交政策是“联俄、睦韩国、反日本”。
但是《法新社》引述日本《每日新闻》的报导说，俄、日两国外交消息人士透露，尽管中共自2010年以来，曾多次向俄罗斯提出过诉求，愿意在日本北面海岛主权问题上支持莫斯科，以换取俄方在钓鱼岛主权问题上的支持。但全被俄方拒绝了。报导还说，有别于中、日关系，俄、日两国的关系更密切，自安倍2012年12月上任以来，已经四度与普京会晤。
伍凡：“为什么拒绝？从俄罗斯的角度讲，它希望你这个问题长期不要解决。就把中国（共）的力量吸引到中国的东南方，不会把中国的力量引到北方去。因为中国和俄罗斯也有领土问题，100多年了，尽管是江泽民签了条约卖国了，但是以后的账会不会翻过来，俄罗斯一直在担心。所以它不会帮助北京去解决钓鱼岛的问题。”
有分析指出，中共需要俄罗斯的石油等资源，且中共与美、日联盟抗衡。但俄罗斯还不会一面倒的支持中共。
伍凡表示，相比中共，俄罗斯更希望日本到西伯利亚投资，也希望得到日本的技术。相反，它并不希望中共投入过多的钱到西伯利亚，因为这会影响领土归属问题。 所以俄国跟日本的关系不会放松。
“全球自由信息运动”网站创始人张新宇观察，中共和俄罗斯并没有形成真正意义上的盟国，它们之间不像美国和日本、菲律宾、澳大利亚等的关系，而完全是相互利用。
全球自由信息运动网站创始人张新宇：“比如俄罗斯拿了中国那么大的土地，它也认为江泽民卖了这个土地是因为共产党领导，悄悄卖给它的。它也知道中国如果有民选政府的话，中国人民肯定不会承认江泽民签的协议，还是要跟它讨回那些土地。所以从俄罗斯的角度来讲，它也不希望共产党倒台。”
“英国广播公司《BBC》”引述分析人士的话说，日本拉拢俄罗斯让中共警惕，日本有可能分化中共与俄罗斯的盟友关系，更会让中共提防。
采访/朱智善 编辑/王子琦 后制/黎安安
Russia Declines to Assist Sovereignty Dispute as China and Japan Leaders Appear Together At Sochi.
Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to the Sochi Winter
Olympics Opening Ceremony continues to draw attention.
This is the first international sports event that
the Chinese Communist leader has attended.
This also represents Xi Jinping’s fifth
meeting with Putin since Xi took office.
Political implications and subtle relationships between
China, Russia and Japan are of particular concern.
Xi Jinping arrived in Sochi, Russia
in the afternoon of February 6.
Xi Jinping then met with Putin for the first time this year.
Some foreign leaders have boycotted the games, making
a clear stance against human rights abuses in Russia.
Xi Jinping attending the opening ceremony is thus
considered a friendly gesture from China to Putin.
Political commentator Wu Fan analyzes that other
than human rights, the Sochi Winter Olympics
Opening also faces other hard-hitting issues.
This includes Russia’s support of the Syrian
government, and ongoing problems in the Ukraine.
Russia’s all-out efforts to support a leftist
Ukraine has kept Ukraine out of the EU.
In issues such as these, Russia and China
share similar positions and interests.
Wu Fan, political commentator:
“Firstly, Putin wans to buy its oil.
Secondly, they share the same view
on the issues of Syria and the Ukraine.
This is despite China not being public about this
stance. Putin, however, is quite arrogant and blatant.
Xi Jinping hopes to gain support from Russia
against the Japanese and the Americans."
Russian media reported that 44 foreign heads of state
or government, including Xi Jinping and Japanese Prime
Minister Abe, will be present at the opening ceremony.
This is according to Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov.
Japanese PM Abe appearance will coincide with
the first time he has appeared with Xi Jinping since
his last December 26 visit to Yasukuni shrine.
The chance for the two to conduct conversations
and handshakes is thought to be slim, however.
Any slight interaction between the two, and
the relationship between China, Russia,
and Japan will become an important topic.
Hong Kong Economic Times analyzed
China’s current foreign policy stance.
This is to “unite with Russia, build a relationship
with South Korea, and to stand against Japan."
According to an AFP report, quoting Mainichi Shimbun,
Beijing said it would support Moscow in its decades-old
dispute over sovereignty of islands to the north of Japan.
This is in exchange for backing its row over
ownership of an East China Sea archipelago.
The offer has been made repeatedly since 2010,
citing diplomatic sources in Russia and Japan.
This has always been brushed off.
AFP also pointed out that the Russo-Japanese dispute
is in stark contrast to Tokyo’s dispute with Beijing.
Abe and Putin have already held four summits
since Abe took office in December 2012.
Wu Fan: “Why has Russia declined China’s offer?
It is to the benefit of Russia for the dispute
between China and Japan to continue.
There is also a land dispute between Russia and China.
For over 100 years, even though Jiang Zemin
signed a treaty, the issue might return in
the future, and that concerns Moscow.
That’s why Russia will not support
China in the Diaoyu Islands dispute."
Analysts have pointed out that the Chinese
regime needs Russian resources such as oil.
It is also fighting against the alliance
between Japan and the United States.
However, Russia is not yet overwhelmingly
supportive of the Chinese regime.
Wu Fan believes that Russia favors investment
to Siberia from Japan more than from China.
It also favors technology transfer from Japan.
Too much investment from China will
affect the territorial issues with Siberia.
Therefore, Russia will not cut it’s ties with Japan.
Gifree.groupsite.com founder Zhang Xinyu
observes that the Chinese regime has not
formed an alliance with Russia in the true sense.
Their relationships are unlike those of the
United States, Japan, The Philippines and Australia.
It is entirely one of mutual exploitation.
Zhang Xinyu: “Moscow took such a large territory
from China, with full awareness that this was because
of the Chinese leadership, done with a secret deal.
It knows that once an elected government
is realized in China, the treaty signed
by Jiang Zemin will not be recognized.
Thhe land will be demanded to be returned, and
for Russia, it hopes China’s regime will not fall."
BBC Chinese quoted analysts comments.,
The CCP is alert and concerned over
close ties between Japan and Russia.
These ties have the potential to weaken
the alliance between China and Russia.
Interview/Zhu Zhishan Edit/Wang Ziqi Post-Production/LiAnan
