共产政权五代寿终吗？5月25号《纽约时报》登出一篇“前进中的中国真的是脚踏实地吗？”(As China Marches Ahead, Is It On Solid Ground? )文章，其中作者(DIDI KIRSTEN TATLOW)比较了前苏联解体前的社会状态和当前中国社会出现的问题，作者提出，我们现在看到的中国情况难道就是（共产政权）结束前的时刻吗？
而原苏联总理尼古拉•雷日科夫（Nikolai I. Ryzhkov），对当年的社会也直言不讳的说：我们偷自己的东西，收贿受贿，在报告中、报纸上、讲坛上撒谎，我们沉溺在谎言中，互相给对方发奖牌。所有这一切—从上到下、从下到上的发生着。
NY Times: the precursor of collapse in China is just like that of the former Soviet Union
It was the fifth generation who ended Communist rule
in the former Soviet Union.
Analysis said that the Soviet Union fell because it became
morally and culturally weak.
As China prepares for its fifth generation, widespread moral
decline has long plagued China,"according to both ordinary and prominent Chinese,"the article reads.
New York Times (NY Times) said that the precursor
of collapse has shown up in China just like that of the former Soviet Union.
“Are we looking at the end game?" the article asks.
Do Communist states, perhaps, have a natural lifespan
as NY Times said? Here is what experts say.
Will communism come to an end at the fifth generation?
On May 25, NY Times published an article entitled,
“As China Marches Ahead, Is It On Solid Ground?"
The author, Didi Kirsten Tatlow, compares Chinese society
with that of the Soviet Union before its break-up,
and questions if we are looking at the end game of
The author also cited Leon Aron of the American Enterprise
In an essay published in Foreign Policy magazine last year,
Leon argued that the Soviet Union didn’t fall because
it was economically weakened,
despite its profound challenges in that realm.
Nor was the Soviets’ war in Afghanistan the death knell,
though it was a burden.
“The Soviet Union fell because it was morally and culturally
weakened," Mr. Aron stated to the NY Times.
The NY Times article also said that widespread moral decline
has long plagued China, according to both ordinary and prominent Chinese.
Even prime minister Wen Jiabao, at a news conference
in March, said that Chinese society and politics suffer from corruption and a lack of credibility.
Nikolai I. Ryzhkov, former prime minister of Soviet Union,
was blunt about what Soviet society had become: “(We) stole
from ourselves, took and gave bribes, lied in the reports,
in newspapers, from high podiums, wallowed in our lies,
hung medals on one another.
And all of this – from top to bottom and from bottom to top."
The article also said that these reports of a weakening
economy combined with concern over morals pose a question
for China as it prepares for its fifth generation of
post-revolutionary leaders —
the same generation that ended Communist rule
in the former Soviet Union.
Li Li, current affairs commentator residing in Holland,
told New Tang Dynasty TV that the Chinese communism
is going bankrupt just like the Soviet Union, as China’s
economy develops with hidden uncertainties.
Li Li: “Similarly, people thought the Soviet Union regime
would sustain until its break-up. All the tyrannical regimes repeat the same story.
They look powerful, with slaves as accomplices and stooges
There is an old saying that a tree falls and the monkeys scatter.
And when the regime is about to collapse, everyone will give it a push."
Lan Shu, current affairs commentator, said that the communism
worshipped by CCP goes against fundamental humanity.
CCP believes that political power grows out of guns,
which rejects the goodness of human nature.
Lan Shu, current affairs commentator: “The first generation
fought for it, the second found it uncomfortable,
and the third and fourth struggle to survive, as it goes against
humanity and the whole human society.
Under such circumstances, gradually, people don’t trust
CCP has completely lost its prestige among the public."
Gordon Zhang, the author of The Coming Collapse of China
published in 2001, predicted that in 5 to 10 years, China’s social system will collapse due to various problems.
Zhang said that many undercurrents flow beneath
the deceptively calm surface of Beijing, and China’s social reform is accelerating.
A series of riots happened over the country on sensitive
occasions show the precursor of revolution.
Li Li said: “A tyrannical regime is based on lies and force,
so the public clearly knows that it is unreliable, but simply obey it for their personal interests.
The regime has lost its basic moral foundation, therefore
its collapse is not avoidable, (we) just don’t know when."
The NY Times article said that Xi Jinping, the man tapped
to become China’s next president, will also be a fifth-generation leader.
“So far, no one has made a convincing argument that Mr. Xi
is a reformer like Mr. Gorbachev," says the article.