【新唐人2012年7月27日讯】7.21暴雨引发北京“60年特大水灾”，外界普遍认为，导致这次水灾是三分天灾，七分人祸。事发后不久，北京市长郭金龙、副市长吉林分别辞去、职务，并得到获准，在水灾最需要善后的情况下，他们的辞职格外的令人不解。下面我们来看一下专家的分析解读。
25号中共喉舌媒体发布消息，北京市市长郭金龙和副市长吉林辞职，但是却没有提及辞职的原因，也没有提到两人是否辞去党内的职务。
郭金龙前不久被任命为北京市委书记，分析认为，按照中共惯例，在接任了新的党内职务后，应该辞去原来的市长职务。
美国“哥伦比亚大学”政治学博士、时政评论家李天笑指出，他们的任免，实际上都是晋升，郭金龙晋升为市委书记，率先取得中共十八大政治局的入场券，而政协主席王安顺晋升为市长。
时政评论家 李天笑：“ （郭金龙）他不是真辞职，真辞职就连北京市委书记一块辞职了 ，他现在不能够同时兼任市长和市委书记，他总得要辞，所以他看到民众对死亡人数有质疑，中共下水道一直不管，藉这个事情来平息民愤，好像做出来一种姿态，跟国际接轨，实际上是玩维稳的这么一个花招。”
时事评论员文昭也认为，北京市长的人事调换是有意误导公众，愚弄民意。
时事评论员 文昭：“也没有交代他们有什么责任，但是也不说是一个正常的人事变动，好像让你感到有一点他要承担责任的意味，但是他又不解释原因，他要的就是这种经济效果。”
李天笑还指出，江泽民“血债帮”的大头目刘淇也难辞其咎。刘淇是前任的北京市委书记。
李天笑：“很多事情并不是他（郭金龙）一个人干的，刘淇等这些人一块干的，那么刘淇是江泽民主要的‘血债帮’的一个大的头目，在北京市安插在那里。这样的话，刘淇实际上要对这些事情负主要责任，那么现在刘淇不在了，他觉得他可能自己要替刘淇承担他的责任觉得冤枉，这样的话干脆把责任推掉，临阵逃脱，所以这里边有多种因素。”
此外，李天笑还表示，中共利用大量的资金控制访民，迫害法轮功。维稳经费超过军费，却不在市政建设下任何功夫，拿老百姓的生命当儿戏。同时，按照一般的常规来说，郭金龙应该是把整个救灾和善后的事处理好以后，才可以辞职。
李天笑：“在台湾大水灾的时候，行政院长他本来当时就要辞职，但是，他说我到一个月之后再辞职，为什么呢，这个月里边，他把所有的水灾之后的善后工作全部做好了，然后辞职，像当时的日本的官员他也是这样，所以说他(郭金龙)是在最不应该的时候辞职，为什么？就是他想临阵逃脱，推脱责任。”
文昭指出，如果，让他们提前辞职是为了承担责任，那将引起民众对他们更大的问责风暴，对他们来说，这才是更大的“不稳定”，所以中共当局是有意对郭金龙等辞职的原因含糊、不解释清楚，基本的意图是十八大之前的“维稳第一”。
李天笑还表示，从各种微博传播的信息可以看到，老百姓现在民怨鼎沸，但是老百姓没有实质的办法可以真正制约中共官员的为非作歹。北京市的防灾措施能真正得到改善，只有等中共政权下台以后了。
采访编辑/常春 后制/薛莉
Experts Unveil Insider Information on Resignation of Beijing Mayor Guo Jinlong
Heavy rain on July 21 has led
to devastating floods in Beijing.
Overseas observers widely believed that
the flood is 30% natural, and 70% manmade.
Soon after the flood, Beijing Mayor Guo Jinlong,
and Vice Mayor Ji Lin resigned.
It’s hard to understand how they can resign when
the city needs urgent rehabilitation after the flood.
Let’s hear from the experts.
Chinese Communist Party (CCP) official
media released reports on July 25.
Beijing Mayor Guo Jinlong,
and Vice Mayor Ji Lin, have resigned.
The report didn’t give reasons, and didn’t mention
whether they have also quit their positions inside the party.
Guo Jinlong was appointed to be the CCP Beijing
Secretary shortly before the flood.
Analysts said that according to CCP convention, the mayor
will resign when they take over the party secretary’s position.
Current affairs’ commentator Li Tianxiao, based
at U.S. Columbia University, highlights that the
appointment and resignation in Beijing is a sign of promotion.
Guo Jinlong has been promoted to be Party Secretary.
This means he has received the ticket to be a member
of the Politburo in the CCP’s 18th National Congress.
Wang Anshun was promoted to Mayor from
City Chairman of the Political Consultative Conference.
Li Tianxiao: “It’s not a true resignation. If (Guo Jinlong) really
wants to resign, he will resign as the CCP’s secretary as well.
He cannot take the position of secretary and mayor in the
same time. He has to resign from one of the roles.
When he saw the people questioning the flood death toll,
and the government not taking care of the sewer system,
he wants to use the resignation to calm public anger.
He wants to use the resignation to give a gesture
that the CCP is matching international standards.
But in fact, this is the CCP’s trick to maintain stability.”
Wen Zhao, a current affairs’ commentator also highlighted
that changing the mayors is trying to mislead the public. It is fooling the public’s opinion.
Wen Zhao: “The government didn’t say which kind
of responsibility the resigning mayor took.
It didn’t say whether it’s a normal change, and so appears
that (Guo Jinlong) is taking part of the responsibility.
This is the effect they want to make.”
Li Tianxiao says that Liu Qi, a main leader in Jiang Zemin’s
“Blood Debt Faction", should also take responsibility.
Liu Qi is the former CCP Beijing secretary.
Li Tianxiao: “Many things were not done by (Guo Jinlong).
They were done by Liu Qi and other CCP officials.
As a main leader of Jiang Zemin’s
‘Blood Debt Faction’, Liu Qi was set in Beijing.
It means Liu Qi should have primarily taken responsibility.
Now, Liu Qi isn’t in Beijing, Guo Jinlong might think he will
take the responsibility which should be taken by Liu Qi. Then Guo Jinlong may feel innocent.
That’s the reason why he resigned the position
to remove responsibility. There are many reasons behind it.”
In addition, Li Tianxiao said the CCP spends a lot of money
controlling petitioners and persecuting Falun Gong.
Spending on maintaining stability
is much higher than the military budget.
The CCP didn’t work hard on the city’s construction.
It takes the lives of the people as a trifling matter.
According to international conventions,
Guo Jinlong shouldn’t resign before the matter of relief and rehabilitation has been finished.
Li Tianxiao: " The premier of Taiwan had planned
to resign, but there was a flood.
Then he said he would postpone
the resignation for one month. Why?
Because during this month, he can lead the government
to finish recovery from the flood. It’s the same in Japan.
That’s the reason why I say that this
is the very time Guo Jinlong should not resign.
Guo Jinlong wants to run away
and shirk his responsibility.”
Wen Zhao pointed out that if the resignation
is about taking responsibility, it will spark a bigger storm.
The people ask for those responsible.
This is the larger “instability” for the CCP.
So, it’s the CCP’s trick that didn’t explain
the reason why Guo Jinlong has resigned.
The basic purpose is the CCP is ‘maintaining stability’
before the 18th National Congress.
Li Tianxiao also said that based on the information that
is spread on the internet, the Chinese grievances are huge.
Chinese people don’t have a realistic solution
to restrict CCP officials from committing evil.
The disaster prevention measures in Beijing can
only be improved after the CCP regime steps down.
