【新唐人2012年9月8日讯】与谷开来和王立军案无法切割的薄熙来，在王立军数罪并罚和审理谷开来的案件中都没有被提及，那么作为“唱红打黑”集团的头面人物——薄熙来未来的走向，成为外界关注的焦点，前几天，又传出中共皇储——习近平遭刺伤背部。那么，在中共各方势力互相厮杀的过程中，会不会把中共一同杀倒？中共十八大到底还能不能召开？中共政权能不能形成第五代核心？而所谓第五代核心是谁？这些问题已经成为观察中国局势的专家们新的关注焦点。
谷开来杀害海伍德一案，从开庭到量刑，都没有提到薄熙来，而起诉王立军的四宗罪状中，薄熙来的名字也没有出现在官媒的报导中，关注中国问题的观察人士不禁猜测：中共当局是否别有用意？也有评论人士认为：薄案会留给下任处理。
时事评论员华颇认为，胡锦涛拿下薄熙来树立了权威，对原来指定的接班人习近平来说，如果只像处理前中共北京市委书记陈希同一样，来处理薄熙来，则树立不了习近平的权威。
时事评论员华颇：“习近平要树立权威的话，说白了，就是杀掉薄熙来，才能树立习的权威。不彻底解决薄熙来的话，那对习近平是一个非常大非常大的危险。因为现在社会的局势非常动荡、内外交困，撤销一切职务、不开除党籍，以观后效，薄熙来弄不好这个角色就跟当初的邓小平一样，那习近平就有可能做华国锋第二。”
华颇说，从目前中共高层不寻常的人事异动，和习近平“爽约”希拉里等种种迹象来看，很多人都在质疑中共高层到底出了什么事。
华颇：“北戴河会议未必可以弥补党内高层之间的裂痕，有可能使这种裂痕越来越大，并没有使全党团结起来，也不排除中共就要经历一起…在薄王案之后，经受到新一轮的冲击的可能性。”
政论家伍凡指出，现在中共高层斗的一塌糊涂，连十八大怎么开都不能确定。他说，前面传出习近平背部被刺，所谓第五代核心还“前途未卜”。
政论家伍凡：“薄熙来在两个案子中都没提到，在我看来可能想减轻这个案子的实际的程度，现在要想的是胡温、周永康、江泽民，怎么斗，这个斗的结果会影响薄熙来的结果，中共高层斗争越来越激烈，三天之前，谁知道习近平有这么个现象出来，习近平是活是死，你知道吗？”
今年2月，王立军闯入美领馆，导致中共暗箱内斗的黑幕再也无法掩盖。
中国历史学家李元华认为，中共内部已经没有了共同的利益，各派只是利用共产党这个旗号，攫取更多的利益、欺压百姓。李元华表示，他们在为了自己利益拼杀的过程中，就会斗垮共产党。
中国历史学家 李元华：“不管是要上位的还是即将离位的，都是为了保持自己的利益或攫取更多的利益，十八大做权利交接的时候，正是它政权相对来讲最薄弱期，也是中共利益厮杀最激烈的时期，在这个过程中，要寄希望于某一派出于正义去做一些事情，这个迹象看不到，为了某一派利益下黑手的先例挺多。”
赵紫阳秘书鲍彤，在一篇“鲍彤评说薄熙来案”的文章中指出，薄熙来“唱红打黑”超过“三个代表”，超过“四个坚持”。鲍彤认为，薄熙来把一党专制的本质用“唱红打黑”概括了出来：“唱红”就是“顺我者昌”﹔ “打黑”就是“逆我者亡”。
鲍彤说：十八大一定要有一个选择，它可以和薄熙来切割，也可以就切割一个薄，如果不和“唱红打黑”切割，那么它还是从帝制走向帝制，也就是一切照旧。
采访编辑/刘惠 后制/周天
Unknown Factors Impact the 18th National People’s Congress
Bo Xilai, an important figure in both the Gu Kailai and
Wang Lijun cases, was not mentioned in their trials.
Bo Xilai’s future has become the focus of international media.
A few days ago, rumors began to spread
that Xi Jinping had been stabbed in the back.
Will the CCP destroy itself during the process
of various factions battling against each other?
Will the 18th National People’s Congress take place?
Will the CCP form a core power of the 5th generation?
Who will be in this so-called core of the 5th generation?
These questions have become
the focal point for China experts.
Through the Gu Kailai trial for the murder of Neil Heywood,
her husband Bo Xilai was not mentioned even once.
Bo Xilai’s name was also not mentioned
within the four alleged crimes of Wang Lijun.
Those who closely follow China issues can’t help
but wonder whether the CCP has other intentions?
Some critics also believe that Bo Xilai’s case
will be left for the next generation to handle.
Current Affairs Commentator Hua Po believes that Hu Jintao
has strengthened his authority by taking down Bo Xilai.
Xi Jinping will not be able to build his authority if the Chinese
Communist Party (CCP) handles Bo Xilai in the same manner
that it handled former Beijing Party Secretary Chen Xitong.
Hua Po: “To put it openly, if Xi Jinping wants
to strengthen his authority, he has to kill Bo Xilai.
It is a large danger to Xi Jinping if Bo Xilai
is not taken care of completely.
The social situation is very volatile right now.
It is beset with difficulties internally and externally.
All levels are effected, so if Bo Xilai is not expelled
from the Party, the effects will be seen later on.
Bo Xilai’s role could be similar to that of Deng Xiaoping,
and Xi Jinping may become the next Hua Guofeng.”
Hua Po says that from observing the abnormal personnel
changes within the high levels of the CCP, and with
Xi Jinping missing a meeting with Hilary Clinton,
many people are wondering what has happened.
Hua Po: “The Beidaihe meetings may not be able to remedy
the rift between high level officials, and the divide may grow.
It did not unify the whole party, and does not exclude
the fact the CCP will possibly have to experience a new round of assaults after the Bo-Wang case.
Political commentator Wu Fan highlights that high level
CCP officials have fought into a huge mess.
It is not certain how the 18th National People’s Congress
will take place, as there are now rumors of Xi Jinping having been stabbed in the back.
There is a so-called “unknown future.”
Wu Fan: “Bo Xilai was not mentioned in both cases.
From what I see, [they] may want to decrease
the seriousness of this case.
One should think about how Hu Jintao, Wen Jiabao, Zhou
Yongkang, and Jiang Zemin will fight, and how the result of this fight will influence the verdict on Bo Xilai.
The fighting is becoming more intense, and 3 days earlier,
who knew this would happen to Xi Jinping.
Do we know whether Xi Jinping is alive or dead?”
In February this year, Wang Lijun fled to the U.S. Consulate.
Dark infighting between CCP officials
could no longer be kept under cover.
China historian Li Yuanhua believes there
is no mutual benefit within CCP anymore.
Each faction is only using the Communist flag
to obtain more benefits for itself, and to suppress people.
Li expressed that in the process of them fighting
for their own benefits, the CCP will collapse.
Li Yuanhua: “It doesn’t matter who the ones are who will
now take on posts, or the ones who will leave their posts,
they are all trying to protect their own benefits.
They are trying to obtain more benefits during
the shift of power that is taking place at the 18th National People’s Congress.
This is when the CCP’s political power is at it’s weakest,
and also the most intense fighting takes place.
During this process, there is no sign of seeing any
hope of a faction acting out of righteousness.
It is more likely that these factions will act like mafia.
In an article, Zhao Ziyang’s secretary Bao Tong points out
that Bo Xilai’s “Sing Red and Crack Down on Black”
exceeded the ‘three representatives and four determinations’.
Bao Tong believes Bo Xiali has summed up the nature of one
party dictatorship through “Sing Red and Crack Down Black”.
“Sing Red” meana those who obey me will flourish,
“Crack Down Black” means those who disobey me will perish.
Bao Tong says that the 18th National People’s Congress
must have a choice so that it can cut itself from Bo Xilai.
Then it can separate everything of Bo Xilai.
If it does not separate itself from “Sing Red
and Crack Down Black”, then it is taking the old path from autocracy to autocracy.
