【新唐人2012年12月25日讯】从内蒙古党委书记空降广东省委书记的胡春华，稍早前在省委常委会议上提出“号召力”和“战斗力”，这些“三字经”被认为，在强调“空谈误国，实干兴邦”的大陆当前，尤其具有意义。那么，胡春华能在汪洋之后，更好的处理抗争频发的广东局势吗？下面听听专家怎么说：
接替汪洋主政广东的新任省委书记胡春华，12月18号下午主持召开了省委常委会议，他在会上说，要做好广东的工作，关键是要把常委会建设好，把常委会建设成一个团结的班子、干事的班子，一个有号召力和战斗力的班子。
原山东史学教授刘因全：“叫常委要有战斗力，要有号召力，那就说明，现在的官员，包括这些常委们，没有战斗力，没有号召力。当然用处不大啦！因为中共现在这个体制问题，造成它病入膏肓！像这样只是强调一点，提一提啊，我想不会起什么大的作用。”
大陆媒体评论报导说，放眼神州大地，不作为、不干实事与夸夸其谈的官员依然大有人在，这些人的通病就是没有“战斗力”；而且，在当下官场，贪污腐败猖獗，大官大贪，小官小贪，连乡村里的“芝麻官”也贪得无厌，这些贪官但求自己官运亨通、财源广进，对老百姓的生活就管不了那么多了，因此他们不但没有“战斗力”，当然就更没有“号召力”。
而时政评论家蓝述认为，中国目前面临巨大的社会矛盾和经济问题，但是中共的领导们并没有意愿进行改革。
蓝述：“在今后的几年，中国的社会形势将会出现巨大的变化，因为官民矛盾的尖锐程度，以及中国经济发展所能进行调整的路子都不多了，中国经济现在面临巨大的问题。”
香港媒体在稍早前的专栏文章中指出，广东既是经济大省，又是问题大省；既是改革开放前沿，又是思想交锋最激烈地区；既是权贵利益交汇处，又是群体性抗争频发地区。改革开放三十多年积累的各种矛盾，在广东都能找到，而且比其他地方更严重。
胡春华主政过河北和内蒙等人口与资源大省，唯一缺乏的是沿海发达地区的政治历练。报导分析，胡春华从未经历的难题，从官吏腐败成风到贫富差距悬殊，从体制阻碍到公民社会成长，从权贵横行到群体性事件频仍，各种问题剪不断、理还乱。利益诱惑、左右交锋、基层骚乱、粤港澳合作与冲突，挑战一波接一波。
时政评论家蓝述：“他在中共现行的体制之内，只要体制不改变，他应该都没有太多施展的空间，因为他在不触及中共这个体制本身的前提之下，他们都没有办法再往前走了，这个体制不改啊！再有号召力，再有战斗力，也就是嘴上说一说，真正的不会起太多作用。”
报导说，汪洋败走广东，胡春华应引以为戒。由于汪洋急于树立改革派形象，主政广东期间推出腾笼换鸟、行政体制改革、公民社会建设、三打两建等一系列政策，但多数虎头蛇尾无疾而终。近几年，广东从韶关到潮州，从中山到茂名，大规模群体性事件一宗接一宗。而每次骚乱，汪洋都不是亲临一线处理，反而前往国外学习所谓的社会治理经验，逃避与基层百姓真诚对话。
而今胡春华上任，是否会改变做法？
蓝述：“中共党内从总体来看，它没法改！这就是最后党内各派妥协的结果—-不改旗易帜。你不改的话，下面的人再怎么提，那也是个人说一说而已。”
胡春华，被外界认为是中共当局重点培养的第六代接班人，如果胡春华在广东的政治历练不出问题，五年后很可能晋升为政治局常委，真正实现接班。因此，报导说，对胡春华来说，广东这五年只许胜不许败。令人好奇的是，中共政权还能撑五年吗﹖
采访/刘惠 编辑/周平 后制/周天
Will Guangdong”s New Leader Policy Work?
Hu Chunhua was promoted to Guangdong party secretary,
from the position of Inner Mongolia party secretary.
Recently, he mentioned “ability to organize” and “ability
to fight” at a provincial Standing Committee (SC) meeting.
His words are considered eloquent, especially the slogan,
“Empty talk ruins the country, practical work prospers the country.”
Can Hu Chunhua manage to run Guangdong
better than Wang Yang did? Let”s take a look.
On December 18th, Hu Chunhua chaired
a provincial level Standing Committee meeting.
He said, in order to do well in Guangdong, the key point
is to organize better Standing Committee meetings;
to develop the Standing Committee as a unity team,
a practical team, a team with ability of organize and fight.”
Liu Yingquan, former History Professor in Shandong:
“Training the SC to have ability to fight and organize,
means the current officials including members of SC have
no abilities to fight and organize, that they are useless.
The Chinese Communist Party”s (CCP) system
caused many problems, it is like an incurable disease!
What he stressed on is just one point, he only casually
mentioned it, I think it won”t produce any effect.”
Media in mainland China reported, in China, many officials
haven”t truly served their jobs, haven”t worked practically.
Their common problems are lack of “ability to fight,”
no matter whether they are high or low level officials, corruption is common among them.
Even village officials are seriously corrupt. Such officials
are only concerned about their own gain and power, and are careless about civilians” life.
So they not only have no “ability to fight,”
but also have no “ability to organize.”
Lan Shu, Current Affairs” Commentator, believes CCP
is encountering gigantic social and economic problems.
However, leaders have no intention
to reform and change.
Lan Shu: “In the next several years,
China”s social situation will change dramatically.
As conflicts between officials and citizens
become increasingly tense.
In addition, there isn”t much room for economic adjustment.
The CCP is economically facing massive problems too.”
Hong Kong media reported in a feature column, Guangdong
was a major economic province, yet it also has big problems;
it was a pioneer in the opening up and reform,
and was also a vanguard area for new ideas;
it was an area of struggle between power and interests,
and an area that has many protests are taking place.
All major conflicts that accumulated in the past 30 years
can be found in Guangdong.
And it is all more severe there,
than in the other areas.
Hu Chunhua was in charge of Hebei and Inner Mongolian
Provinces which have large population and natural resources.
The only thing they lack is political experience
like that in coastal cities.
The report analyzed, that problems Hu Chunhua has never
faced, are corruption, huge rich-poor gap; system” obstacles,
civil society”s development, abuse of power, mass protests,
etc., with various problems being rather chaotic.
In addition, interests” lures, rightist and leftist”s struggles,
grassroots unrests, joint conflicts of Macau and Hong Kong, challenges line up one after another.
Lan Shu: “He is within the CCP system, without changing
the system, he hasn”t have much room to maneuver.
If he doesn”t touch the CCP system,
they have no room to move forward.
Without changing the CCP system, even if you have
the skills to manage and fight, it is all just one empty talk. It won”t have a real effect.”
The report said, Wang Yang”s failure in Guangdong,
should make Hu Chunhua learn a lesson.
Wang Yang was eager to set an image of a reformism,
he implemented various methods: administration reform, civil society development and other policies.
Most of them started loudly,
but produced no results in the end.
In the last several years, protests happened constantly
in Guangdong, such as in Shaoguan, Chaozhou, Zhongshan and Maoming.
Mass protests happened one after another.
After each incident, Wang Yang went abroad to study social
management, instead of solving the problems on site. He has avoided facing civilians.
Will Hu Chunhua change this method?
Lan Shu: “Generally speaking, CCP”s system won”t change.
That”s why each faction within the party made a concession: to not touch the CCP.
Under this circumstances, no matter how many people
talk about a reform, it still remains just an empty talk.”
Outsiders believe, Hu Chunhua is from the sixth-generation
successors that the CCP is focusing on training.
If Hu Chuhua doesn”t have problem in Guangdong,
in five years, he will be promoted to the Politburo SC.
He will be the successor. The report said,
Hu Chunhua is only allowed to win, but not fail.
People are curious, with problems up to its ears,
will the CCP be still around in five years?
