【新唐人2013年03月06日讯】中国各界要求结束中共一党专政、实行民主宪政的呼声日益高涨。最近，中国一名女富豪在接受美国媒体访问时，主动提出“中国人最想要民主”。观察人士指出，中国正处在民主革命的前夜，变革已是不可避免。
中国知名地产发展商、S0HO中国行政总裁张欣，日前在接受美国“CBS”皇牌新闻节目“60分钟(60Minutes)”访问时，语出惊人的说：“如果你问在中国生活的中国人，每一个人最渴望的，不是食物，不是房子，而是民主。”
据香港《主场新闻》（House News)新闻网站报导，“60分钟”这一集节目的内容主要是介绍北京“地产大亨”张欣，以及中国近二十年的房地产发展。主持人没有问及任何有关地产以外的问题，张欣却自动爆出“中国人最想要民主”这样的话，使资深主持人Lesley Stahl也感意外。
北京时政观察人士华颇指出，中国正处在民主革命的前夜，这是各阶层人士都有的共识，如果不实行民主宪政，很可能发生暴力革命，导致玉石俱焚，对于广大民众，失去的是锁链，得到的是整个世界。
北京时政观察人士华颇：“而相对这些地产大亨来说，他们身上不仅仅是锁链，他们拥有的东西太多太多，所以他们最怕的是中国发生暴力的改变，以前他们同意稳定，但是以前暴力维稳和模式已经走到尽头，越维稳越不稳，所以他们也看到了，中国只有实行宪政民主才能保障他们的一切。”
日本《外交》杂志，2月曾刊载一篇“中国迈向民主化的5种可能”文章，文章直指未来10到15年内，民主化中国的实现将是“不可避免”。
文中回顾各国迈向民主的历程。其中分析，有两个因素是中共专制政权更替和崩溃的条件：首先就是一党专制。分析说，一党专制无论如何精良，仍会受到组织老化与衰变的影响，而且专权的制度，导致腐败加剧、管治恶化，与群众日益疏远。
时政评论员汪北稷指出，中共腐败堕落的独裁统治，造成了中国的贫富差别悬殊，看似国民经济增强了，但仍有一部分人挣扎在贫困线上。
时政评论员汪北稷：“在人的温饱，在基本的生活没有得到满足的时候，他可能很多层面上去考虑他的温饱问题，生存问题。就是中国人，既需要丰衣足食，也需要安居乐业，也需要很好的体现尊严的经济、实惠的住宅，更需要民主权利。”
张欣认为，中国的“民主不用20年就会到来”。而中共新总书记习近平“清华大学”博士论文导师—-孙立平教授则认为：“一场静悄悄的革命已经发生”，他预言“十年可能到不了，五年可能差不多”。
华颇表示赞同孙立平的观点。他认为，中国发生变革已是不可避免，但怎么变，就看执政者是真改革？还是假改革？
华颇：“如果执政者还是顽固的坚持不进行宪政民主的话，这个非常有可能暴力革命在中国发生，虽然这是人们不愿看到的，但是，暴力革命是否发生，不是以人的意志为转移的，中共手里还是有很多牌可以打的，习近平说的‘宪政梦’的关键，我觉得还是在落实，落实限制党权，扩大民权，落实宪法关于保障民权的条款。”
华颇还表示，目前就看中共是否顺应民意，开放言禁、报禁、党禁，抛弃暴力。或者还是继续拒绝民主，执意玩火，以至最终导致民众彻底失望，举国爆发革命，将中共永久吞没。
采访编辑/李韵 后制/李智远
Democratic Reform Is Inevitable for China
Chinese people from all walks of life are demanding an end
to Chinese Communist Party (CCP) one-party dictatorship.
Their calls for democracy grow louder and louder.
Recently, a wealthy Chinese woman told an interviewer
that Chinese people want democracy the most.
Observers point out that China is on the eve of a
democratic revolution, and changes are inevitable.
Zhang Xin, CEO of SOHO, China’s leading
real estate developers, has stunned the world
during an interview on CBS’ “60 Minutes”.
He said, “if you ask people in China, what they want
the most is not food, not a house, but democracy."
Hong Kong’s House News website reported that “60 Minutes"
mainly introduces the Beijing real estate tycoon Zhang Xin
and nearly two decades of real estate development.
The host did not ask any question outside of real estate.
Zhang Xin’s remark, regarding “what Chinese people want
the most," even surprised senior moderator, Lesley Stahl.
Hua Po, current affairs observer in Beijing, points out
that China is on the eve of a democratic revolution.
This has the consensus of people from all walks of life.
If constitutional democracy is not implemented, there may
be a violent revolution, and may lead to a total destruction.
For the majority of Chinese people, they will
gain the whole world and lose their shackles.
Hua Po: “These real estate tycoons have
too many things, including the shackles.
They are most afraid of a violent reform.
They agreed to stability before, however, the
mode of maintaining stability has come to an end.
The more the regime tries to maintain
stability, the less stable the country becomes.
Only when China implements
democracy will the rich be protected.”
In February, Japan’s “Foreign Affairs"
magazine published an article, entitled:
“Five possibilities for China marching toward democracy.”
The article pointed out that in the next 5-10
years, democratization of China is unavoidable.
It listed the democratic history of many countries.
In its analysis, there are two factors deciding
the collapse and replacement of the CCP.
The first is a one-party dictatorship.
Analysts say that a one-party dictatorship,
however sophisticated, will continue to suffer the effects of aging and decaying.
In addition, increasing corruption and deterioration of
governance also estrange the regime from the masses.
Wang Bei-Ji, current affairs commentator pointed
out that the rottenness of the CCP’s authoritarian
rule results in disparities of rich and poor in China.
The nation’s economy seems enhanced, but many
people are still struggling below the poverty line.
Wang Bei-Ji: “When food and clothing needs
are not met, one may consider his food and
clothing problem, one’s survival from many levels.
Chinese people not only need food and
clothing, but also work and comfort in life.
In addition to a dignified economy, affordable
housing, they also need democracy the most."
Zhang Xin believes democracy will come within 20 years.
Tsinghua University Professor Sun Liping,
doctoral dissertation advisor of Xi Jinping said
that a quiet revolution has occurred. Sun predicted
that it may not take 10 years, but five years will do.
Hua Po agreed with Sun Liping’s view.
He believes that reform is inevitable,
but how depends on those in power.
Do they really want to reform, or
just to fool the Chinese people?
Hua Po: “If rulers are stubborn and refuse
to implement constitutional democracy, this very likely results in a violent revolution.
Although people do not want to see it happen, violent
revolution does occur, or not cannot be easily altered.
The CCP still has many trump cards to play. The key
of Xi Jinping’s “constitutional dream"is implementation.
I believe implementing it will limit the party’s
power, expand civil rights, and protect civil rights.”
Hua Po said that nowadays, we need to see whether
the CCP will heed public opinion and abandon violence.
This includes banning words,
newspapers and political parties.
If the CCP refuses to accept democracy and continues
to play with fire, the masses will be totally disappointed.
An outbreak of a nationwide revolution
will occur to permanently destroy the CCP.
