【新唐人2014年05月23日讯】中、俄两国日前签署联合声明的同时，双方也正在东海举行第三次联合军事演习。大陆媒体对中、俄关系高度赞誉，令人联想上个世纪50年代，所谓中、苏友好时期，中、俄双方也在政治、经济、军事等多方面进行合作。不过，观察人士指出，中、俄的关系实际是貌合神离，各打各的小算盘。下面请看详细报导。
中、俄两国20 号签署《联合声明》，提出“全面战略协作伙伴关系进入新阶段”。双方将保持和深化高层对话，必要时还要建立新的合作机制。《声明》还指出，这种新关系有助于中、俄各自经济改革，以及建立更公正的国际秩序等。
不过，日本舆论认为，中、俄高调联手，主要是在制约与两国都有领土纠纷的日本。而美国国务院在中、俄发表《联合声明》后，呼吁俄罗斯不干涉其他国家的内政，及停止分裂乌克兰。
旅美俄罗斯问题评论人士李善鉴认为，中、俄联手与当前的国际形势有关。他指出，美国解决中东问题后，战略重心已转移到亚州，也就是进一步孤立和围堵中共。而俄罗斯近期由于在乌克兰和克里米亚的问题上，遭到西方国家的一致反对和制裁，所以中、俄是因为政治和经济利益的互补而联手。
旅美中国问题评论人士李善鉴：“中国跟俄国就像两个难兄难弟似的，中国是需要俄国的能源和军备，俄国人现在最需要那就是钱。现在在这个利益上有这个互补，完全是建立在利益的基础上，是非常不牢靠的，利尽而散，从来都没有一个属于这种道义上的结盟。”
中、俄《联合声明》中强调：要继续推动双边贸易，在2015年前达到1000亿美元，2020年前达到2000亿美元，同时在中、俄贸易、投资和借贷中，将扩大中、俄本国货币直接结算规模等。
《声明》还包括建立所谓全面的“中、俄能源合作伙伴”关系，深化石油领域一揽子合作，尽快启动俄对华供应天然气，扩大对华电力出口等。
据大陆媒体报导，中国已经准备好取消俄罗斯的天然气进口税，而俄罗斯卖给中方的天然气，价格略高于中亚国家。
由于欧盟反对俄罗斯侵占克里米亚，欧盟已经减少从俄罗斯进口天然气。
另一方面，中、俄海上联合军事演习，从20号到26号，在东海进行。
原山东大学教授孙文广：“因为中国是极权国家，俄罗斯是个威权国家，他们可以在一时之间结成友好的关系，就好像过去苏联和中国一样，但不牢靠，因为不兼容。那么后来从最友好的国家变成非常仇恨、对立的国家。10多年的时间，那就势不两立了。”
大陆博客作家、自由撰稿人刘逸明也认为，中、俄双方是貌合神离，各打各的小算盘。
大陆自由撰稿人刘逸明：“我也认为只是貌合神离，因为都是独裁专制。中国跟俄国签署的油气协议，我认为也跟当前的形势有关。因为俄国在世界上现在成为了最孤立的国家，而中国也比较孤立，因为制度跟很多国家格格不入，所以他们同病相怜。”
原“山东大学”教授孙文广对比了美国、英国和法国的关系，他表示，美、英、法已经持续几百年友好，尤其在两次世界大战中，关系非常牢固。孙文广认为，那是因为他们有共同的价值观——对人权、民主、自由的坚守。
而李善鉴举例说，无论中共如何制造反美舆论，民众或官员移民时的首选，都是美国等西方国家，而不是俄罗斯。另一方面，大陆老百姓对俄国占领中国北方大面积领土，以及向中国输出共产主义、暴力革命等都非常不满，甚至怀有敌意。
刘逸明分析，中、俄即便联合对美开战，也不会“一条心”。预计，开战的话，由于中共军队极其腐败，毫无战斗力，落败的可能性更大。
采访编辑/唐音 后制/陈建铭
Critics Question China-Russia Joint Declaration
China and Russia have signed a joint statement.
This took place during a third military exercise between the
two countries, that was conducted in the East China Sea.
Mainland Chinese media highly
praised Sino-Russia relations.
Observers reflect back to the 1950s, when both countries
were also cooperating in politics, economy, and military.
They question this new expression of Sino-Russia
relations, with some refering to it as mutual manipulation.
Let’s see our report.
A joint declaration signed by China and
Russia on May 20 aimed at cementing an
all-round strategic cooperation partnership.
The two sides will maintain and deepen high-level dialogue
and establish mechanisms for cooperation when necessary.
The declaration also pointed out that this new
relationship will help economic reform in both countries.
It claims to promote a more
just and fair international order.
Following the declaration, Japanese media
alleged that high-profile collaboration between
Russia and China was mainly to contain Japan.
Japan is involved in territorial
disputes with both countries.
The U.S. State Department also called on Russia to
stop intervening in the internal affairs of other countries.
It also called on Russia to stop dividing the Ukraine.
China expert Li Shanjian believes that the current
international situation forced both countries to team up.
The United States has shifted its strategic
center of gravity from the Middle East to Asia.
That further isolates and contains Communist China.
Russia has met with sanctions by both the EU
and the US over issues of Ukraine and Crimea.
Therefore, China and Russia have worked together to
complement each others political and economic needs.
Li Shanjian: “China and Russia are like birds of a feather.
China is in need of Russia’s energy and armaments,
while the Russians are mostly in need of money.
This complementary need is the foundation
of their relationship, which is very insecure.
Once these needs are gone, everything is gone,
since there are no morals in their relationship."
The joint declaration stressed that both countries raise
their trade volume to 100 billion U.S. dollars by 2015.
Further, they are to raise their trade
volume to 200 billion by 2020, to promote
bilateral trade, investment and lending.
It will also promote expanding the scale of direct
billing between the two countries’ national currencies.
The declaration also includes actively pushing
forward bilateral cooperation on energy projects.
This includes oil and gas, and to launch a
supply of natural gas and electricity to China.
Mainland Chinese media reported that China
is ready to cancel Russian gas import taxes.
Russian natural gas prices to China are higher
than those to other Central Asian countries.
The EU opposes the Russian occupation of Crimea,
so the EU has reduced natural gas imports from Russia.
Meanwhile, China-Russia joint naval exercises are taking
place between May 20 and 26, in the East China Sea.
Sun Wenguangm, former professor at
Shandong University: “China is a totalitarian
state and Russia is an authoritarian country.
They can form a friendly relationship in a moment,
as in the past between the Soviet Union and China.
But it is not reliable, because it
is not compatible with each other.
With hatred, they can become opponents.
In 10 years, the relationship could be irreconcilable."
Freelance writer Liu Yiming questions
the relations between China and Russia.
They appear close, but at variance.
Liu Yiming: “I simply think that their relations
are just dubious, as both countries are autocratic.
The fact that China signed oil and gas agreement with
Russia, I think, is related to the current global situation.
Russia has become a very isolated country.
China is also relatively isolated, because of the
incompatible system with many other countries.
They are in the same boat."
Sun Wenguang, former professor of Shandong
University, takes the relationship among the
United States, Britain and France as a comparison.
These three countries share good relations,
especially during the two world wars.
Sun Wenguang believes insistence of common values
of human rights, democracy and freedom is key.
Li Shanjian explains how the CCP has
manufactured anti-American propaganda.
Despite this, the U.S. and other western countries,
and not Russia, have been the top emmigration
choices for Chinese civilians and officials alike.
The general Chinese public hold
a hostile attitude towards Russia.
This is not only due to massive invasion
of northern China, but also for exporting
Communism and violent revolution to China.
Liu Yiming analyzes that even if the joint
Sino-Russian declaration is against the
US, both countries will not form ‘one heart’.
He anticipates the great possibility of failure on China’s part.
This is because of corruption and lack
of combat ability in the CCP military.
Interview & Edit/Tang Yin Post-Production/Chen Jianming
