【禁闻】德媒:胡放薄熙来支持者 以退为进

【新唐人2012年6月15日讯】德国媒体认为,即将卸任的胡锦涛为了确保亲信团派势力的拓展,以退为进轻饶薄熙来事件的支持者,其中包括中共政治局常委周永康,以及总后勤部政委刘源,和第二炮兵政委张海洋。不过,学者认为,胡锦涛这样做是因为他的力量不足,但是,如果他不除恶务尽,会给自己将来带来杀身之祸。

据《德国之声》报导,即将卸任胡锦涛,为确保团派和自己的声望,已屈服于保守派的势力,决定对薄熙来事件“降低调查规模”,只调查薄熙来和他的妻子。尽管薄熙来家族被认为将超过20亿美元的财富移往海外,他并未受到任何贪污或其他罪名指控。

最新的中共内部通知也指称,薄熙来丑闻应被视为“独立案件”,不涉及反党分子的阴谋。

时事评论员林保华表示,看来胡锦涛要把薄熙来同党留给下一届处理。但是,不处理也不会太平。因为薄熙来同党周永康一直在反扑,像“李旺阳事件”,从李旺阳“被自杀”到被强制火化,都跟政法委书记周永康有关系。

林保华:“陈光诚的事情、李旺阳的事情,胡锦涛跟温家宝他们扮演什么角色?是被周永康跟下面的人蒙蔽;还是你有意纵容他们不去处理;或者是根本就是你主持的。肯定这三个里面你扮演一个角色,你逃不掉的。”

林保华指出,共产党体制出了很大问题,政法委在中国民愤非常非常大了,只有立刻解散政法委,才能为18大扫清道路,老百姓也会欢迎。

《德国之声》认为,压下对薄熙来案调查的有三股势力:首先是仍在中共、解放军和政府内担任高层职位的毛派干部;其次是受中共元老薄一波恩惠的前党魁江泽民;第三股是“皇太子”习近平,习近平不希望对付军中太子党,如刘源和张海洋等。

但是,《德国之声》指出,作为“放过”参与薄熙来阴谋同伙的回报,胡锦涛可以在中共十八大后留任中央军委主席至少两年,这将确保胡锦涛的团派亲信在中共十九大唱主角。

旅美政治评论家陈破空认为,胡锦涛放过薄熙来的支持者是不得已的,一方面他是弱势领导人,只想平平安安的退休;另一方面薄熙来事件对中共震动太大,强大的左派力量让胡锦涛感到了恐慌,不仅使中共高层内部分裂,而且连基础也发生分裂。

陈破空:“在这种困境下,与其说是以退为进,不如说是无可奈何;与其说是放过薄熙来的同党和部下,不如说是把他们没有办法;与其说是他着眼于18大、19大,不如说它是为了自己全身而退、安然退休。”

陈破空还指出,现在胡温处理薄熙来仅局限在经济问题和刑事问题上,连权利斗争和路线斗争都不提了,说明在心理上还是认同薄熙来他们是一家人。

陈破空:“他要认清楚倒薄这件事情,关系到中国的政治方向问题,他要认识到倒薄熙来的支持力量不在中共党内,而是在党外、在民间。民间对毛式的、文革式的、红色的那一套、极左的那一套深恶痛绝,尤其民间希望中国走上一个民主自由之路、走上一个真正的政治开放之路。”

陈破空指出,如果胡温跨不出党内处理薄熙来的思路,就会感到势单力薄;如果他们不从历史中吸取教训,不除恶务尽,就会被内部极左势力的反扑所压倒,他们会受到清算,还为将来自己埋下杀身之祸。

采访/易如 编辑/宋风 后制/ 君卓

Hu Jintao Lets Bo Xilai’s Allies Off the Hook

German media reviews that expected-to-retire Hu Jintao
is letting Bo Xilai’s allies off the hook for the sake of his Youth League’ future.
Bo’s allies include Zhou Yongkang, the Politburo Standing
Committee member of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP),
Liu Yuan, commissar of PLA’s General Logistics Dept.,
and Zhang Haiyang, commissar of PLA’ 2nd Artillery.
Scholars comment that Hu’s act is due to lack of strength.
If not uprooting all evils, this will lead to fatal disaster for Hu.

Voice of Germany reported, the outgoing CCP’ President
Hu Jintao has succumbed to the Party’s conservative force,
to ensure the Youth League’ and his own future.

Hu has reportedly decided to “downgrade the investigation”
of Bo’s case, with the probe confined to Bo and his wife.
Bo’s family was reported to have transferred
over USD 20 billion outside China.
Yet so far, Bo himself has not been formally accused
of corruption or any other charges.

The latest inside information from CCP is that Bo’s scandal
should be considered a separate case, and that no anti-Party conspiracy should be involved.

Critic Lin Baohua thinks Hu seems intending to leave
the issue of Bo Xilai’s allies to the new CCP’ leadership.
However, Hu will not be safe even if he avoids
dealing with it, Lin Baohua forecasts.
The force led by Bo Xilai and Zhou Yongkang had never
given up their counterattacks, like Li Wangyang’s death.
Li “committed suicide” according to the authorities,
and they forced quick cremation of his body.
All these were linked to Zhou Yongkang, head of the CCP’
Political and Legislative Affairs Committee (PLAC), says Lin.

Lin Baohua: “In the incidents of Cheng Guangcheng and
Li Wangyang, what role did Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao play?
They were either deceived by Zhou Yongkang
and his minion forces;
or they (Hu & Wen) might willingly condoned
the roles of Zhou and his minions in the incidents;
or they (Hu & Wen) actually are the ones
behind these incidents.
That is, they (Hu& Wen) must have done
one of these three things."

Lin Baohua says that big things went wrong with the CCP’s
ruling system. The PLAC has greatly outraged the Chinese people.
Only PLAC’s immediate disintegration can pave the way
for CCP’s upcoming 18th Congress, which will be welcomed by the people, Lin Baohua remarks.

There are three forces playing roles in smothering the probe
into Bo’s case, according to Voice of Germany’s analysis.
Firstly, the Maoist cadres still holding senior office positions
in the CCP, the People’s Liberation Army and in the regime.
Secondly, the CCP former leader Jiang Zemin
who received favors from the CCP veteran Bo Yibo.
Thirdly, the CCP’s “crown prince" Xi Jinping who does
not want to contend with military princelings, like Liu Yuan and Zhang Haiyang.

However, in return for “letting off” Bo’s allies, Hu Jintao can
remain as military head for further two years after he retires from office at the 18th CCP Congress.
This can help ensure Hu’s Youth League faction cronies
will dominate the 18th Congress, Voice of Germany says.

US-based commentator Chen Pokong thinks Hu Jintao
has no alternative but to let Bo Xilai’s allies go.
On one hand, regarded as a lesser influential leader,
Hu just wants to have a smooth and peaceful retirement.
On the other, Bo’s case has shocked the CCP
so greatly that its powerful left-wing forces made Hu panic.
Bo Xilai’s case did not only split the CCP’s top-level,
it reached all the way to the CCP’s grass roots.

Chen Pokong: “In this difficult situation, Hu’s step is an act
of helplessness rather than a retreat to gain advantage.
He has no way to deal with Bo Xilai and his allies,
but to let them go.
He considers securing a smooth and peaceful retirement,
rather than paving the way for the 18th or 19th Congress."

Chen Pokong points out that in their handling of Bo’s case,
Hu & Wen confined to Bo’s economic and criminal matters,
not mentioning any power struggles.

This is to show that psychologically,
they still treat Bo Xilai as one family.

Chen Pokong: “He should clearly understand,
that purging Bo is linked to China’s political direction.
He should realize that the force supporting Bo’s removal
is not within the CCP, but outside it, from the civil society.
The civilian community extremely detests the stuff
of the Maoists, the Cultural Revolution and the ultra-leftists.
Chinese civilians hope China would take the path
of democracy and freedom, of real political opening up."

Chen Pokong says, if Hu & Wen limit their way of handling
Bo’case within the CCP privately, then they will be alone and effective less.
Chen warns that Hu & Wen should take lessons
from history to uproot all evils completely.
Otherwise they would be overpowered by
the ultra-leftist force within the party.
In which case Hu & Wen would face destruction
not only of their faction, but of themselves too.

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