【新唐人2012年8月21日讯】中共举行“北戴河会议”之前，广东省委书记、团派大将—-汪洋，曾身穿迷彩服进行实弹射击，被外界解读为有所指。日前海外媒体放风说，“北戴河会议”酝酿了18大的新版—-“7常委”名单，这一组合将会出人意料。另外，中央军委也将有大变动，团派希望选派汪洋等得力干将，进入中央军委核心领导层。下面请看本台记者的报导。
有海外媒体分析说，胡锦涛在“北戴河会议”前，可能就已经考虑了3个不同的18大布局方案。
第一方案是，胡锦涛在18大后继续担任中央军委主席。
第二方案是，胡锦涛完全退出中央领导层，团派很可能会因此而衰退。
而第三个方案则综合了前两个方案的利弊，就是，胡锦涛不寻求连任中央军委主席，但是胡锦涛将提名团派人员进入中央军委核心领导层。在新的“7常委”组合中，汪洋将接任中纪委书记，并且介入军队事务，而现任国务院副总理李克强，则将兼任中央军委副主席。
时事评论员邢天行：“这个确实是出乎一般人的预料和想像了。那么就目前来讲，如果说，它（中共）要解决它的政治危机，任何一个变数来讲，其实都不能说完全不可能。”
邢天行指出，汪洋一直被外界认为是改革派，所以有些对中共还抱有希望的人，希望看到汪洋能够进入中共权力核心。
邢天行：“那么在这种情况下，尤其中共在充满危机的时候，它打汪洋这个牌，我觉得是有很多的意图在里边。因此，第三种方案能不能比前两种方案更可行，这个我是持怀疑态度的。”
中共18大将在最近的两个月内召开，外界普遍认为，中共党内各派也利用这一段时间不断对外放风，以便更有利的卡位18大。但中共一贯的黑箱操作，让18大权力布局变得扑朔迷离。
《中国事务》杂志总编辑伍凡：“北戴河会议结束了，是不是会议结束了，达成最终的决议了，还是不清楚。17大本来只有7个人，7个常委，最后那几个钟头才决定增加2个常委。”
从事国际和中国问题研究的独立学者巩胜利，也对《新唐人》表示，中共的党内斗争非常普遍，而且没有任何法制可讲。
中国问题独立学者巩胜利：“党内斗争是常态。因为为权力你死我活，这基本上是历史上共产党没有成立开始，就是从陈独秀、王明就开始斗起，那现在更是尖锐激烈到白热化的程度。我觉得可能不到最后那一天，是没有办法定下来的。”
在此之前，江泽民派系也曾放风，炒作江系人马进入18大政治局常委。但随着江泽民被传成为植物人，王立军、薄熙来事件的冲击，江系日渐衰落。江系“血债派”为延续迫害法轮功政策而长期把持的第二权力中心——中央政法委，也已经被消权。而最近审判的“谷开来案”，更是让案件背后的活摘法轮功学员器官、贩卖尸体等惊天罪行曝光于海内外。因此，有分析认为，胡锦涛借谷开来案震慑江系，将会主导中共18大的人事布局。
采访/田净 编辑/李谦 后制/王明宇
Hu Jintao’s New Plan Features Wang Yang
Before CCP leaders’ Beidaihe meeting, Guangdong Party
Secretary Wang Yang appeared in media, dressed in military uniform.
Recently foreign media reported the Beidaihe meetings
produced a new list of CCP Committee members,
which will come as a surprise to the public.
In addition, CCP’s Central Military Commission
will also see significant personnel changes.
The Hu faction hopes that Wang Yang and others enter CMC.
Some foreign media released news that
before Beidaihe meeting,
Hu Jintao prepared three different plans,
all for personnel change after CCP’s 18th National Assembly.
The first plan will allow Hu to continue serving as Chairman of
Central Military Commission.
The second option completely excludes Hu Jintao from the central
leadership, bringing potential threats to the Youth-League faction.
A compromise between the first two, the third plan allows
Hu Jintao to nominate people on his side into central leadership, while he himself will step down.
Among the new 7 Standing Committee members, Wang Yang
will serve as Secretary to the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection,
partly in charge of military affairs, and current Vice
Premier Li Keqiang will serve as vice chairman of CMC.
Political Critic Xing Tianxing: “This is indeed outside of
public expectations. But to resolve its political crisis, CCP might possibly take such measures.”
Xing Tianxing also pointed out how Wang Yang has been
regarded as a reformist,
so some people are hoping he will enter CCP’s power core.
Xing Tianxing: “At this time of crisis,
CCP uses Wang Yang for special purposes.
I am still skeptical whether the third plan is more feasible.”
CCP’s 18th Assembly will take place in two months.
CCP’s different factions will grasp this time to release its messages, all to their own advantages.
CCP’s black-box operation, however,
makes its power struggle ever more confusing.
Wu Fan, Chief Editor of China Affairs magazine:
“Although Beidaihe meeting has ended, it does not mean CCP officials have reached a final resolution.
At its 17th Assembly, CCP decided to enlarge the Standing
Committee from 7 to 9 members in the last two hours.”
Gong Shengli, independent scholar for Chinese studies,
said to NTD how CCP’s inner struggles are common practice,
and that there is no legal procedures within CCP.
Independent scholar Gong Shengli: “Inner struggle is CCP’s
common practice, from its early period between Chen Duxiu and Wang Ming, up to today’s heated conflicts.
I believe it will not stop, until the last day of CCP’s life.”
Earlier, the Jiang Zemin faction spread rumors that officials
from Jiang’s faction would enter Standing Committee after 18th Assembly.
The Jiang factions wither daily now, with Jiang Zemin
purportedly in a vegetative state, as well as the Wang Lijun-Bo Xilai scandals.
Jiang’s factions manufactured the Central Political and
Law Commission as a second power center for the purpose of persecuting Falun Gong.
Now the center’s power has been reduced.
Recent prosecutions of Gu Kailai triggered another round of
public concern over CCP’s organ trafficking and body factories,
especially those targeting Falun Gong practitioners.
Some analysts believe that Hu Jintao took advantage of
the Gu Kailai case to deter the Jiang faction,
and to control CCP’s personnel arrangement
at its 18th Assembly.
