【禁闻】首位博士总理上位 李克强如何破局

【新唐人2013年03月16日讯】随着习近平签署第一号主席令,李克强成为中共第7任国务院总理,“习李”体制正式启动。外界普遍关注,李克强是否也会像朱镕基接班的时侯“抬一百口棺材,留一口给自己”,或者是象温家宝开始信心满满,到离任时却不尽人意。

在15号的中共十二届全国人大一次会议第五次全体会议上,李克强被任命为国务院总理。  

根据规定,国务院总理将提名副总理、国务委员、各部部长、各委员会主任、中国人民银行行长、审计长、秘书长等人选,并提请人大会决定任命。

但外界早已透露,这一届国务院仍维持“一主四副”编制,即李克强任总理,张高丽为常务副总理,刘延东、马凯及汪洋分任另三位副总理。

北京时政观察人士华颇:“从整体来看,还是李克强能够说了算,因为他这班子里没有像王岐山那样一个张扬、强势、能力的人物。张高丽是常委,当然它是第一副总理。他的上位属于18大上各派博弈、妥协的结果。”

北京时政观察人士华颇认为,能力不突出的“骑墙派”张高丽,不会对李克强构成威胁,李克强应该满意副总理的配备。

李克强是文革结束后恢复高考的第一批大学生,他考入“北京大学”法律系。在“北大”上学期间,担任“北大学生会”主席;毕业后在职获“北大”经济学博士。

1993年,李克强担任共青团中央书记处第一书记,98年42岁的他出任河南省代省长, 2002年升任省委书记,自2008年李克强担任国务院副总理。

不过,新出任总理的李克强恐怕不会轻松。

从来自国家统计局的资料显示,二月份通膨达到3.2%,为10个月来最高,而工业产出和消费者支出比预测的更加疲软,而国家的固定资产投资增长却达21.2%,是1年来最大。英国《路透社》对此表示,中国不平衡的经济,预示着一个迫在眉睫的决策者困境。

“英国广播公司”《BBC》评论李克强“当选”总理时指出,他的当务之急是推动中国经济增长的转型、维持经济较高速度的增长、缩小城乡收入差距等,但实际上挑战远不止于此。

时事评论员蓝述:“今天不管是谁当上总理,也不论谁当上中共最高领导人,中国所面临的危机都是一样的。最大的危机就是由于中共的腐败以及贫富的差距,所造成的中国社会巨大的不平等,和大量的、大面积出现的、高发性的群体抗争事件。”

中共喉舌《新华社》主办的《瞭望》杂志之前公布的资料显示,中国的“群体性事件”,已由2000年的4万起增加到 2009年的11万起,而2010年中国发生的群体性事件共约28万起,其中百人以上的群体性事件增加到8500多起。 

从温州动车事故到钱云会惨死,从乌坎对峙到甚邡骚乱,从食品监管不力到官员贪腐滥权,民间网路爆料使“表叔”、“房叔”纷纷落马,这一切都让中共政府公信力荡然无存。 

流亡学者严家祺撰文指出,李克强、王岐山等中国领导人都清醒的看到,中国的制度在很多方面都与托克维克描述的“旧制度”相同,中国不改革,就会爆发十八世纪法国那样的暴力革命。所以,许多中共领导人心目中知道,中国今天处于大革命前夕,纷纷把自己的财产存放到国外,让子女移民到国外。

而中国的“新三座大山”——医疗、教育和住房,在李克强担任国务院常务副总理后主抓的这三块,不见好转;在此之前,李克强执政河南时出现的“卖血村”、“艾滋村”事件,也给他蒙上了阴影。 
 
采访/易如 编辑/宋风 后制/周天

New Prime Minister Li Keqiang Ph.D

When Xi Jinping signed Presidential Decree, Li Keqiang
became 7th Premier of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Xi- Li administration had officially started. Common concern
for the outside world is maybe Li Keqiang is like Zhu Rongji;
To take 100 coffins, keep one for himself or be as confident as
Premier Wen at first but be unsatisfactory when retired.

In the fifth plenary meeting for the 12th CCP National People’s
Congress meeting on March 15th, Li Keqiang became Premier.

According to regulations, the Premier of the State Council will
nominate the vice premiers, state councilors, ministers,
commissioners, the President of the People’s Bank of China,
the Auditor-General, the Secretary-General and other candidates.
and these appointments be brought to the NPC meeting to decide.

But the outside world has already revealed this session of
the State Council will remain the preparation of ‘one chief and four vice premiers’;
This means that Li Keqiang is Premier, Zhang Gaoli is Deputy
Prime Minister, along with Liu Yandong, Ma Kai and Wang Yang.

Hua Po, a Politics watcher in Beijing said,
“On the whole, Li Keqiang has the final say.
His team did not have assertive, strong and capable figures
like Wang Qishan so Li made the decisions.
Zhang Gaoli is a Standing Committee member as
the first deputy prime minister.
The others took positions as a result of compromise
in the 18th NPC."

Hua Po, a politics watcher in Beijing said,
Zhang Gaoli is a fence-sitter without huge abilities.
He will not pose a threat to Li Keqiang,
so Li should be satisfied with the vice prime ministers.

Li Keqiang is in the first batch of students after the resumption
of the college entrance exam after the Cultural Revolution.
He was admitted to the School of Law in Peking University.

During his studies in college, he served as President of
the Peking University Student Union.
After graduation, he became the Ph.D. in economics
of Peking University.

In 1993, Li served as the first secretary of the Central
Communist Youth League.
In 1998, 42-year-old Li became an acting governor
of Henan Province.
In 2002 he was promoted to the secretary of
the provincial party committee.
He had served as Vice Premier of the State Council since 2008.

However, life for the newly appointed prime minister
Li Keqiang will not be easy.

From data from the National Bureau of Statistics, inflation
reached 3.2% in February, the highest in the past 10 months.
Industrial output and consumer spending was weaker than
predicted, but the country’s fixed asset investment growth was as high as 21.2%, the maximum within the year.
Reuters said China’s unbalanced economy
is signaling an imminent decision.

BBC commented when Li Keqiang was elected Prime Minister,

he said his top priority was to promote the transformation of
China’s economic growth, to maintain high economic growth,
and narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas.
There are other challenges far greater than that.

Political commentator Lan Shu: “Today, no matter who is
the Prime Minister, and regardless of who are the top leaders of the CCP, the crisis facing China is the same.
The biggest crisis is the CCP corruption. The gap between
rich and poor has caused huge inequalities in Chinese society.
A lot of group protests appear in large areas regularly."

CCP mouthpiece Xinhua News Agency’s magazine, Outlook,
had published data which showed the mass incidents in China.
They were 40,000 in 2000, increased to 110,000 in 2009 and
in 2010, group event had a total of about 280,000 cases.
Over 8,500 cases had more than 100 people involved.

From Wenzhou motor accident to the death of Qian Yunhui,
from Wukan confrontation to riots in Shifang.
From ineffective supervision of foods to corruption and
power abuses of officials.
civil exposures made ‘Uncle Watch’ and ‘Uncle House’ fall down,
all of these eliminated the credibility of the CCP regime.

Exiled scholar Yan Jiaqi pointed out, Li Keqiang, Wang Qishan,
and other China’s leaders are clear to see that
the Chinese system is the same in many respects with
the old system described by Tocqueville;
if China does not reform, violent revolutions
will erupt like that in eighteenth century in France.
So many leaders of the CCP know that China today
is on the eve of the Revolution.
They have deposited their money in properties abroad,
and emigrated their children to other countries.

The new ‘three big mountains’ of the Chinese people-
health care, education and housing,
did not improve in the charge of Li Keqiang as
Deputy Prime Minister of the State Council.
Before this, Henan Province under Li Keqiang’s rule looks
like blood selling villages and AIDS villages, which cast shadows.

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