【新唐人2014年02月21日讯】自去年开始，许多外国机构及经济学家都在唱衰中共，甚至表示中国经济会发生“震撼全球的崩溃”。日前，香港媒体披露，中共宣传部已向媒体下达指示，规避外资银行的经济学家唱衰中国经济。分析人士指出，中共为维稳保党，在驱逐外媒记者后，外资银行的分析师将遭清理。
日前，香港《南华早报》援引不愿透露姓名的中国媒体人士，和经济研究员的曝料说，中共宣传部向媒体下达指令，要求他们在邀请经济学者谈论中国经济时，谨慎对待可能提到的中国经济问题和挑战等话题。
指示内容还包括：减少邀请外资银行参加中国银监会就银行业发展的闭门会议﹔中共央行和银监部门在向外资银行披露信息时要小心﹔中共官员对外资银行的研究报告要更为谨慎，以及疏远国际银行的高级经济师等。
一位传媒业内人士透露：没有黑名单，也没有白名单。但很清楚的是，在邀请专家谈论中国经济的现场直播时，我们会被鼓励去邀请国内证券公司和银行的经济师和分析师。
美国南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院教授谢田：“现在中国经济和金融确实到了一个非常严峻危机的地步，这些有良知的、愿意讲真话的这些专家学者们，他们不得不唱衰中国的经济。不得不对中国经济发表出很多悲观的看法，而这些都不可避免的戳到中共对经济方面的造假、谎言。中共现在发出这个指令就是排防海外的，或者是有外国西方背景的一些专家。”
2月17号，“英国广播公司《BBC》”经济事务编辑罗伯特•派斯顿，撰文《中国是否会再次震撼世界？ 》。文中指出，在过去的几年中，中国每隔五天建成一座新的摩天大楼﹔修建了30多个机场，25个城市的地铁，三座世界上最长的桥梁，超过6000英里的高速铁路线，26000英里高速公路，商用建筑和私人住宅的开发，达到了一个令人难以置信的规模。
他说，这些由“借贷膨胀”产生的支出和投资的项目，永远无法产生经济回报。中国的债务，已经占国内生产总值GDP的比重，从2008年的大约125%，增加到目前的200%。
罗伯特•派斯顿表示，如果借贷及投资的膨胀不能被束缚住，不仅会动摇中国，而且是会产生震撼全球的那种崩溃。
国际货币基金组织（IMF）1月14号发表的一份报告显示，2012年，中国国民生产总值GDP 为51万9千亿元人民币，而中国地方政府债务高达GDP 的45%。真实的财政状况比官方数据更糟糕。
去年3月，大陆媒体《财经网》刊发国际知名投行机构“野村证券”经济学家的报告说，中国经济正在显现金融危机前的特征，预计市场风险的恶化，将会造成贫富差距的扩大。“野村证券”多次看衰中国经济。
美国“纽约城市大学”政治学教授夏明表示，2014年全球业界的基本共识是，中国的房产和信贷泡沫，不可避免的将破灭，惊弓之鸟的中共，担心国际上对中国银行危机、金融风暴的讨论引发国内恐慌，一方面拚命扭曲中国的经济信息误导老百姓，另一方面则为维稳而封锁中国的经济信息。
夏明：“中共中宣部对海外的记者发出指示或警告，尤其对各种银行、金融这方面的信息、尤其对国外经济学家对中国经济的困难、银行之间的危机要不报不提等等，这些都有指示，这些本身都说明了在中国经济信息是高度政治化的。”
谢田：“中宣部做出的一切决定的背后的根源、背后的原因都是为了保住中共、就是保党，任何可能会威胁到共产党、或者是戳穿它谎言的言辞评论、专家的看法，对它来说都是足够威胁的。”
网络活跃人士、时政评论人士Alan Huang在推特上发表评论说：“当中国的危机从政治层面向经济层面扩散，可以预见，继外媒记者遭到驱逐之后，下一波要遭到清理的应该就是外资银行的分析师。”
采访编辑/易如 后制/钟元
Chinese Communist Regime Censors
International Economist Analysis
Since 2013, many foreign institutions and economists have
expressed their disappointment at China’s economy.
Some even anticipated a Chinese economic collapse that will
shake the world.
Hong Kong news report revealed the Communist Propaganda
Department’s recent order demanding Chinese media avoid
using foreign banks economic analysis.
It seems that following rejecting foreign media journalists,
the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is targeting foreign banks
economic analysts to maintain its so-called stability and
safeguard itself.
According to Hong Kong based South China Morning Post,
An anonymous journalist and economist revealed that the
CCP Propaganda Department had issued a directive to the
Chinese media.
It cautions possible Chinese economic issues and challenges
in talks with economists.
Instructions also include:
Reduce the invitation of foreign banks to participate in
CBRC’s (China Banking Regulatory Commission) closed-
door meetings on the banking industry;
CCP Central Bank and CBRC should be cautious in the
disclosure of information to foreign banks;
CCP officials should be more cautious about foreign banks
research reports;
Avoid senior economists from international banks.
Sources from the Chinese media revealed: “There is no
blacklist or whitelist.
But it is clear that, we are encouraged to invite economists
and analysts from domestic securities companies and banks
in the live talk shows about China’s economy."
Professor Xie Tian, School of Business, University of South
Carolina Aiken: “China is indeed facing a critical crisis in
economy and finance.
Those conscientious experts and specialists have come to the
point to speak the reality of China’s economy.
Those pessimistic talks are inevitably hurtful to all the fraud
and lies the CCP have managed.
This propaganda instruction is to defend itself from those
experts from outside of China."
On February 17, BBC Business Editor Robert Peston’s article,
“Will China shake the world again?" stated:
“Over the past few years, China has built a new skyscraper
every five days, more than 30 airports, metros in 25 cities,
the three longest bridges in the world, more than 6,000 miles
of high speed railway lines;
26,000 miles of motorway, and both commercial and residential
property developments on a mind-boggling scale."
But much of the spending and investment will never generate
an economic return.
“China’s debts as a share of GDP have been rising very rapidly
at around 15% of GDP, or national output, annually and have
increased since 2008 from around 125% of GDP to 200%."
said Peston.
Robert Peston indicated that if the lending and investing
bonanza can’t be stopped, then: “We would be looking at
the kind of crash that would shake China, and the globe."
The IMF (International Monetary Fund) reported on January
14 that, China had a GDP of 51.9 trillion yuan at the end of
2012, but also local debts of up to 45% of GDP.
The actual financial situation is worse than the official data.
In March 2013, caijing.com cited an economist report from
the international investment bank, Nomura Securities.
China has shown signs of financial crisis. The worsening
market risk will create greater disparities.
The Chinese economy has repetitively been disappointing
according to Nomura Securities analysis.
Professor Xia Ming, Political Science, City University of
New York, says that it is the basic global consensus in 2014
that China’s real estate and credit bubble will inevitably burst.
Fearing the international discussion of Chinese banking and
financial crisis will trigger domestic panic, the terrified CCP
is distorting the domestic economic information to mislead
the people.
They are also block the free flow of economic information
for stability maintenance.
Xia Ming: “This instruction from the Propaganda Department
has been issued to overseas correspondents: No report about
the difficulty and crisis of China’s economy from foreign
economists.
These instructions explain that all economic information of
China is highly politicized."
Xie Tian: “The root cause behind all Propaganda Department
decisions is to safeguard the CCP.
Anything such as the comment or opinion from the experts,
that serves potential threat to the CCP or expose its lies, is a
threat to the CCP."
Internet activist and political commentator Alan Huang wrote
on Twitter:
“When China’s crisis spread from the political level to the
economic aspects, it is expected that following the expulsion
of foreign media correspondents, foreign banks analysts are
the next to be targeted."
Interview & Edit/Yi Ru Post-Production/Zhong Yuan
