【新唐人2013年04月30日讯】中共中央编译局副局长俞可平，日前到香港演讲，讨论中共政治改革问题。他坦承，中共改革开放30多年，“政改”始终难以令人满意；他还力数现行体制存在的“十大问题”，并表示，“可以想像”中共总书记习近平，将在今年下半年召开的中共十八届三中全会上，推动更大胆的改革。
香港媒体报导，俞可平28号在香港发表演说表示，习近平与李克强的改革将会延续邓小平路线。
俞可平没有说明这将是什么样的改革，但他说，中国的政治改革，不能通过像管治广东“乌坎事件”这类危机来推动。
时事评论家文昭分析，邓小平的改革路线就是“只改经济不改政治”，也就是没有任何实质性的改革。而这种所谓的经济改革，走得最远，也不过就是“官僚资本主义”，就是在维持共产党特权和政治地位的前提下的资本主义，和一定程度的市场经济。而且不管怎么样改，所谓的“四项基本原则”都不能改。
时事评论家文昭：“也就是共产党的地位不能动摇，也就意味着特权阶层的地位不能动摇。如果说没有政治体制的根本性的变化，现在所谈的改革只能是说，在现有的制度框架内，政府的机构、职能做一些调整；这种层面的改革，它不足以恢复社会公正，也不足以解决中共当前所面临的矛盾。”
另外，俞可平还力数体制的十大弊端，如基本民主制度不健全、公共权力无有效制约、权力关系失调等。他认为，新一届中共中央领导人特点是关注群众需求，因此他预言，未来发展趋势将从集权到分权、从人治到法治。
不过，文昭指出，作为普通百姓来讲，更关心自己的切身利益，目前大家看到的问题是：收入增长赶不上物价、房价太高、看病难等等。所以，很多人更关注收益结构的调整，而这必须和政治体制的变化结合起来。
时事评论家文昭：“共产党垄断一切关键社会资源的政治体制不发生实质性变化的话，那么也不可能发生利益分配结构的实质性变化。现在人们已经意识到了自己生活的艰难以及生活的改善达不到预期，并不是由于自己工作不努力、缺少才干等等因素，而是跟整个制度环境相关的。”
此外，中央编译局前局长衣俊卿因“色情门”被拉下马。而俞可平在回应香港《苹果日报》记者关于衣俊卿去向时，说衣俊卿“仍在工作，只是职务免了”。至于有无其他处分，他表示“要由上头决定”。
时事评论家横河认为，中共不会真正的去处理衣俊卿，因为腐败和性丑闻，在中共官场上是普遍现象，衣俊卿并非特例。而且，由于“马克思主义”理论是真正的“无神论”，它和人类基本道德观念相反，所以专门研究“马列主义”的衣俊卿，做出这样的事情其实很正常。
时事评论家横河：“他研究马克思主义理论，他必然道德败坏。这两者是有直接关系的。如果他道德很好的话反而不对了。所以在这个问题上只是平息一下民愤，把他位置拿掉了，这个研究工作实际运作的权力在内部他其实还是有的，研究马列主义嘛，就这么回事。”
报导还说，有传言指称，中共政治局常委刘云山力保衣俊卿，因为衣俊卿为中共创出所谓的“三个自信”理论。
横河表示，在绝大部分中国民众、以及党的干部都不相信的情况下，还能够把“马列主义”这个极其荒谬的理论体系，通过精美包装后欺骗老百姓，这不是人人都能做得出的。这样的人不好找，所以中共还得用他。
采访/常春 编辑/王子琦 后制/陈建铭
How Will Xi Jinping Push for Bolder Reforms in the Second Half?
Yu Keping, Chinese Deputy Secretary of
Central Compilation and Translation Bureau,
spoke in Hong Kong just a few days ago
about political reform.
He agreed that political reform has never been satisfactory
since Communist China’s reform & opening up 30 years ago.
He listed the top ten problems existing in the current system.
He believes General Secretary Xi Jinping will promote
bolder reforms during the 18th session of the Third Plenary Session in the second half of this year.
Hong Kong media reported Yu Keping
had spoken on the 28th April in Hong Kong,
about how Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang will continue
along the lines of reform of Deng Xiaoping.
Yu Keping did not say what kind of reform it will be.
But he specifically said that China’s political reform can not
be promoted by crises like Guangdong Wukan incident.
Commentator Wen Zhao analyzed Deng Xiaoping’s
reform targeted only the economy but not the politics.
That is a non-substantive reform. This type of economic
reform will at most become bureaucratic capitalism.
It is capitalism with some market economy under the premise
of maintaining the privileges and political interests of the CCP.
Above all else, the so-called principles
can not be touched at all.
Commentator Wen Zhao: “That is the position of the
Communist Party, that it can not be shaken,
which means the privileged status can not be shaken either.
Without fundamental changes to the political system,
the reforms will simply be just minor adjustments to the
institutions & functions within the framework of the government.
They will make some adjustments in governance.
A reform at this level will not restore social justice,
nor solve the contradictions facing the Communist regime."
Yu Keping also listed 10 problems in the current system,
such as, the basic democratic system is far from perfect,
public power lacks effective control,
power relations lose balance, and so forth.
He believed the regime’s new leaders are concerned
about the needs of the masses.
Therefore, he predicted the future will develop
from centralization to decentralization, from the rule of man to the rule of law.
However, Wen Zhao pointed out, the general public
are more concerned about their own personal interests.
For instance, income growth can not keep up with market
growth. Costs are high, such as the housing and medicines.
Therefore, income structure adjustment concerns many more
people and relates to the change of the political system.
Wen Zhao: “The Communist Party monopolizes
all the key social resources.
This type of political system will not make any substantive
change to the structure of the distribution of benefits.
Now people have realized that it is the entire system
that contributes to the difficulty in their lives.
It’s not about a lack of hard work or their talents."
Earlier, the former director of the Central Compilation
and Translation Bureau Yi Junqing, left the post because of “sex scandals".
In response to Hong Kong Apple Daily reporter’s
question about Yi Jungqing’s whereabouts,
Yu Keping said, “He’s still working, but has lost his title.”
As for whether there are other sanctions,
he said, “to be decided at the top".
Commentator Hen He does not believe the regime
will punish Yi Junqing because his behavior was quite common to the Communist regime.
He commented, Marxism is atheist and
opposes basic moral value.
It is therefore quite common for people like Yi Junqing
who promotes Marxism, to commit such behaviors.
Commentator Hen He: “He engages in Marxism,
and inevitably is moral turpitude.
It would be strange if he has a good set of morals.
He lost his title and it was just an act to quell public anger.
His position was removed, but his power over the
operation still exists.
It’s all in-house, to study Marxism. That’s what it’s all about."
The report also stated that it is alleged the Central Committee
Political Bureau Standing Committee Liu Yunshan,
pushed for Yi Junqing’s stay for Yi, was responsible for
composing the so-called “three self-confidence" theory.
Hen He indicated that under the current situation
when the vast majority of Chinese and cadres no longer believe in the Communist ideology,
Yi Junqing continued to deceive the public with the Marxism-
Leninism doctrines, with his nicely packaged theory.
A person like this is rare to the regime.
The Communist regime will surely keep him available.
